Prediction: Casper Ruud vs Rigele Te
Team pages: Casper Ruud · Rigele Te
Prediction summary
Winner
Casper Ruud
Rigele Te
Estimated games
24.7
Recent form · 10 last
Casper Ruud
4-6 (W-L)
Rigele Te
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Casper Ruud 1495 · Rigele Te 1547
| Casper Ruud | Rigele Te | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 43% | 57% |
| Market | 97% | 3% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Rigele Te (rating 1495 vs 1547).
- Casper Ruud dominates on serve: 6.6 aces and 44.8% break avg.
- Rigele Te dominates on serve: 6.6 aces and 51.9% break avg.
- Note: Casper Ruud makes many double faults (4.7/match).
Statistics
| Casper Ruud | Rigele Te | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (2) | 75% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-1.7 | 1.4-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 16.3-16.2 | 11.4-9.4 |
| Aces | 6.6 | 6.6 |
| Double faults | 4.7 | 2 |
| 1st serve % | 69.6% | 77.8% |
| Break % | 44.8% | 51.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
24.7
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Casper Ruud
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/08 | Joao Fonseca ATP Montreal · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 05/08 | Juan Manuel Cerundolo ATP Montreal · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 17/07 | Juan Manuel Cerundolo ATP Gstaad · Clay |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 16/07 | Jaime Faria ATP Gstaad · Clay |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
| 29/06 | Hubert Hurkacz Wimbledon · Grass |
0-3 | 12-19 | L |
| 31/05 | Joao Fonseca French Open · Clay |
1-3 | 20-25 | L |
| 29/05 | Tommy Paul French Open · Clay |
3-2 | 30-28 | W |
| 27/05 | Hamad Medjedovic French Open · Clay |
3-0 | 18-9 | W |
| 25/05 | Roman Safiullin French Open · Clay |
3-2 | 24-23 | W |
| 22/05 | Mariano Navone ATP Geneva · Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
Rigele Te
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/09 | Rio Noguchi Challenger Shanghai · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 30/08 | Tianhui Zhang M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
| 29/08 | Chase Ferguson M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 28/08 | Joshua Charlton M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 27/08 | Xirui Han M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 26/08 | Ammar Faleh Alhogbani M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 20/08 | Isaac Becroft M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 19/08 | Daniil Sarksian M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 07/07 | Oliver Crawford M25 Roda de Bara |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 06/07 | Gianluca Carlini M25 Roda de Bara |
1-2 | 10-11 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Casper Ruud vs Rigele Te?
Our model gives 72% to Casper Ruud, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.