Tennis · Davis Cup · 18/09, 15:30

Prediction: Jiri Lehecka vs Ben Shelton

Team pages: Jiri Lehecka · Ben Shelton

Prediction summary
Winner
39% 61%
Jiri Lehecka Ben Shelton
Estimated games
27.7
Recent form · 10 last
Jiri Lehecka 7-3 (W-L)
LWWWLWLWWW
Ben Shelton 5-5 (W-L)
WWLLWWWLLL
Head-to-head
Jiri Lehecka 0–3 Ben Shelton (3 last)
  • 13 Jun1-2 19-20L
  • 14 Aug0-2 8-12L
  • 13 Jun0-2 8-12L
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Jiri Lehecka 1511 · Ben Shelton 1612
Jiri LeheckaBen Shelton
Our model36%64%
Market42%58%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Ben Shelton (rating 1511 vs 1612).
  • Ben Shelton dominates on serve: 9.6 aces and 44.7% break avg.
  • Ben Shelton is in better form: 80% recent wins.
  • Head-to-head: Jiri Lehecka 0–3 Ben Shelton (3).

Statistics

Jiri LeheckaBen Shelton
Win %50%80%
Win % · Hard 56% (9) 80% (10)
Sets (G-P)1.6-1.42.3-1.1
Games (G-P)14.8-13.918.8-15.5
Aces7.49.6
Double faults33
1st serve %75.6%76.6%
Break %37.3%44.7%
Estimated total games (ours) 27.7

H2H · Jiri Lehecka 03 Ben Shelton (3)

Head-to-head (H2H) · Jiri Lehecka 03 Ben Shelton

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DateSetsGamesRes.
13/06/26
ATP Stuttgart
1-219-20L
14/08/25
ATP Cincinnati
0-28-12L
13/06/25
ATP Stuttgart
0-28-12L

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Jiri Lehecka

WLWWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
04/09 Stefanos Tsitsipas
US Open · Hard
1-3 14-21 L
03/09 Toby Samuel
US Open · Hard
3-0 18-10 W
30/08 Pablo Carreno Busta
US Open · Hard
3-1 23-15 W
18/08 Arthur Fils
ATP Cincinnati · Hard
1-2 11-18 L
16/08 Matteo Berrettini
ATP Cincinnati · Hard
2-1 18-14 W
09/08 Rafael Jodar
ATP Montreal · Hard
0-2 6-12 L
07/08 Alexander Blockx
ATP Montreal · Hard
2-0 12-7 W
05/08 Vit Kopriva
ATP Montreal · Hard
2-0 12-6 W
30/07 Coleman Wong
ATP Los Cabos · Hard
1-2 13-13 L
07/07 Alexander Zverev
Wimbledon · Grass
1-3 21-23 L

Ben Shelton

WWWWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
13/09 Alexander Zverev
US Open · Hard
1-3 18-24 L
12/09 Frances Tiafoe
US Open · Hard
3-1 23-17 W
09/09 Carlos Alcaraz Garfia
US Open · Hard
3-2 26-23 W
07/09 Stefanos Tsitsipas
US Open · Hard
3-0 18-9 W
05/09 Denis Shapovalov
US Open · Hard
3-1 25-20 W
02/09 Hubert Hurkacz
US Open · Hard
3-1 25-21 W
01/09 Tallon Griekspoor
US Open · Hard
3-1 20-15 W
17/08 Jaime Faria
ATP Cincinnati · Hard
0-2 8-12 L
14/08 Brandon Nakashima
ATP Montreal · Hard
2-0 13-9 W
13/08 Learner Tien
ATP Montreal · Hard
2-0 12-5 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Jiri Lehecka vs Ben Shelton?

Our model gives 61% to Ben Shelton, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.