Tennis · Davis Cup · 18/09, 18:00

Prediction: Louis Van Herck vs Fabian Marozsan

Team pages: Louis Van Herck · Fabian Marozsan

Prediction summary
Winner
27% 73%
Louis Van Herck Fabian Marozsan
Estimated games
22.5
Recent form · 10 last
Louis Van Herck 7-3 (W-L)
LWWWWLWWWL
Fabian Marozsan 6-4 (W-L)
WWLWLWWLWL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Louis Van Herck 1522 · Fabian Marozsan 1485
Louis Van HerckFabian Marozsan
Our model55%45%
Market3%97%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Statistics

Louis Van HerckFabian Marozsan
Win %60%40%
Win % · Hard 43% (7)
Sets (G-P)1.4-11.3-1.5
Games (G-P)10.8-9.312.7-14
Aces2.95
Double faults2.52.9
1st serve %67.8%66.5%
Break %40.8%35.8%
Estimated total games (ours) 22.5

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Louis Van Herck

LWWLL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
09/09 Remy Dugardin
M25 Plaisir
0-2 8-12 L
07/09 Alex Kobelt
M25 Plaisir
1-2 8-11 L
07/09 Yannis Batsabaken
M25 Plaisir
2-0 12-7 W
06/09 Tsiry Rabetrano
M25 Plaisir
2-0 12-2 W
26/08 William Rejchtman Vinciguerra
M15 Allershausen
1-2 17-15 L
25/08 Emil Rast
M15 Allershausen
2-0 12-5 W
19/08 Thanaphat Boosarawongse
M15 Lambermont
2-1 14-13 W
18/08 Tim Hammes
M15 Lambermont
2-1 12-11 W
17/08 Mats Egbring
M15 Lambermont
2-0 12-5 W
16/06 Theo Papamalamis
M15 Bourg-en-Bresse · ~Clay
0-2 1-12 L

Fabian Marozsan

LWWLL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
02/09 Michael Zheng
US Open · Hard
0-3 10-18 L
28/08 James Duckworth
ATP Winston-Salem · Hard
1-2 13-18 L
27/08 Martin Damm
ATP Winston-Salem · Hard
2-1 14-12 W
26/08 Miomir Kecmanovic
ATP Winston-Salem · Hard
2-0 12-7 W
14/08 Michael Zheng
ATP Cincinnati · Hard
1-2 13-16 L
05/08 Matteo Arnaldi
ATP Montreal · Hard
1-2 15-15 L
04/08 Shintaro Mochizuki
ATP Montreal · Hard
2-0 12-7 W
01/07 Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
Wimbledon · Grass
0-3 6-18 L
29/06 Thiago Agustin Tirante
Wimbledon · Grass
3-0 19-12 W
26/06 Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
ATP Mallorca · Grass
1-2 13-17 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Louis Van Herck vs Fabian Marozsan?

Our model gives 73% to Fabian Marozsan, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.