Prediction: Holger Rune vs Iliyan Radulov
Team pages: Iliyan Radulov
Prediction summary
Winner
Holger Rune
Iliyan Radulov
Estimated games
22.4
Recent form · 10 last
Holger Rune
7-3 (W-L)
Iliyan Radulov
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Holger Rune 1562 · Iliyan Radulov 1441
| Holger Rune | Iliyan Radulov | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 67% | 33% |
| Market | 73% | 27% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Holger Rune (rating 1562 vs 1441).
- Holger Rune is in better form: 70% recent wins.
Statistics
| Holger Rune | Iliyan Radulov | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 30% |
| Win % · Hard | 70% (10) | 29% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-0.8 | 0.8-1.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.9-10.6 | 9.9-13 |
| Aces | 7 | 2.4 |
| Double faults | 2.6 | 2.4 |
| 1st serve % | 73.4% | 60.9% |
| Break % | 38.4% | 37.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.4
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Holger Rune
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/10 | Tomas Martin Etcheverry ATP Stockholm · Hard |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
| 16/10 | Marton Fucsovics ATP Stockholm · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 09/10 | Valentin Vacherot ATP Shanghai · Hard |
1-2 | 16-15 | L |
| 07/10 | Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard ATP Shanghai · Hard |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
| 05/10 | Ugo Humbert ATP Shanghai · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 03/10 | Sebastian Baez ATP Shanghai · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 28/09 | Jenson Brooksby ATP Tokyo · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 27/09 | Ethan Quinn ATP Tokyo · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 25/09 | Hamad Medjedovic ATP Tokyo · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 21/09 | Francisco Cerundolo Laver Cup · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
Iliyan Radulov
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/09 | Oriol Roca Batalla Challenger Seville · Clay |
1-2 | 13-19 | L |
| 24/08 | Johannus Monday Challenger Roehampton · Hard |
1-2 | 12-18 | L |
| 19/08 | Mark Ceban Challenger Roehampton · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 17/08 | Johannus Monday Challenger Roehampton · Hard |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
| 03/08 | Michele Ribecai Challenger Grodzisk Mazowiecki · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 19/07 | Cyril Vandermeersch Challenger Segovia · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 13/07 | Ilya Ivashka Challenger Pozoblanco · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 12/07 | Sergio Callejon Hernando Challenger Pozoblanco · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 09/07 | Yanki Erel M25 Roda de Bara |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 08/07 | Hamish Stewart M25 Roda de Bara |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Holger Rune vs Iliyan Radulov?
Our model gives 70% to Holger Rune, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.