Prediction: Jurij Rodionov vs Gauthier Onclin
Team pages: Jurij Rodionov · Gauthier Onclin
Prediction summary
Winner
Jurij Rodionov
Gauthier Onclin
Estimated games
23
Recent form · 10 last
Jurij Rodionov
6-4 (W-L)
Gauthier Onclin
4-6 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Jurij Rodionov
1–0
Gauthier Onclin
(1 last)
- 13 Mar2-0 12-6W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Jurij Rodionov 1544 · Gauthier Onclin 1474
| Jurij Rodionov | Gauthier Onclin | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 60% | 40% |
| Market | 65% | 35% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Jurij Rodionov (rating 1544 vs 1474).
- Head-to-head: Jurij Rodionov 1–0 Gauthier Onclin (1).
Statistics
| Jurij Rodionov | Gauthier Onclin | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 63% (8) | 50% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-1.1 | 1.1-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.9-11.9 | 12-12.3 |
| Aces | 7.2 | 1.7 |
| Double faults | 2.4 | 2.2 |
| 1st serve % | 71.4% | 68% |
| Break % | 37.6% | 44.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23
H2H · Jurij Rodionov 1 – 0 Gauthier Onclin (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Jurij Rodionov 1–0 Gauthier Onclin
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13/03/26 Challenger Cherbourg | 2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Jurij Rodionov
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/09 | Daniel Masur Challenger Cassis · Hard |
1-2 | 11-17 | L |
| 08/09 | Matisse Bobichon Challenger Cassis · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 03/09 | Jakub Mensik US Open · Hard |
1-3 | 14-21 | L |
| 31/08 | Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard US Open · Hard |
3-0 | 20-12 | W |
| 28/08 | Jacob Fearnley US Open · Hard |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 26/08 | Frederico Ferreira Silva US Open · Hard |
2-1 | 15-9 | W |
| 24/08 | Kimmer Coppejans US Open · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 18/08 | Rei Sakamoto Challenger Quebec City · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 31/07 | Jamie Mackenzie Challenger Bonn · Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 29/07 | Niels McDonald Challenger Bonn · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
Gauthier Onclin
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/09 | Raphael Perot Challenger Cassis · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 25/08 | Vitaliy Sachko US Open · Hard |
0-2 | 10-14 | L |
| 20/08 | Vit Kopriva Challenger Cancun · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 20/08 | Timofey Skatov Challenger Cancun · Hard |
2-1 | 14-11 | W |
| 19/08 | Alejandro Moro Canas Challenger Cancun · Hard |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 17/08 | Ryan Seggerman Challenger Cancun · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 14/08 | Andy Andrade Challenger Brownsburg · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 13/08 | Tyler Zink Challenger Brownsburg · Hard |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 25/07 | Diego Dedura-Palomero Challenger Tampere · Clay |
1-2 | 14-15 | L |
| 24/07 | Tom Gentzsch Challenger Tampere · Clay |
2-1 | 18-12 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Jurij Rodionov vs Gauthier Onclin?
Our model gives 62% to Jurij Rodionov, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.