Prediction: Elmer Moller vs Grigor Dimitrov
Team pages: Elmer Moller · Grigor Dimitrov
Prediction summary
Winner
Elmer Moller
Grigor Dimitrov
Estimated games
25.2
Recent form · 10 last
Elmer Moller
5-5 (W-L)
Grigor Dimitrov
8-2 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Elmer Moller 1470 · Grigor Dimitrov 1513
| Elmer Moller | Grigor Dimitrov | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 44% | 56% |
| Market | 15% | 85% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Grigor Dimitrov (rating 1470 vs 1513).
- Grigor Dimitrov dominates on serve: 10.6 aces and 45.2% break avg.
- Note: Elmer Moller makes many double faults (4.7/match).
- Note: Grigor Dimitrov makes many double faults (5.9/match).
Statistics
| Elmer Moller | Grigor Dimitrov | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 25% (4) | 50% (4) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.2 | 1.9-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.3-11.7 | 17-15.9 |
| Aces | 2 | 10.6 |
| Double faults | 4.7 | 5.9 |
| 1st serve % | 65.1% | 75.4% |
| Break % | 38.7% | 45.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
25.2
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Elmer Moller
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/09 | Maks Kasnikowski Challenger Manacor · Hard |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 24/08 | Coleman Wong US Open · Hard |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 19/08 | Anton Matusevich Challenger Roehampton · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 18/08 | Ivan Ivanov Challenger Roehampton · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 11/08 | Rudolf Molleker Challenger Hamburg · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 08/08 | Jerome Kym Challenger Hagen · Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 07/08 | Carlos Taberner Challenger Hagen · Clay |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 06/08 | Raul Brancaccio Challenger Hagen · Clay |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 04/08 | Jamie Mackenzie Challenger Hagen · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 29/07 | Jamie Mackenzie Challenger Bonn · Clay |
1-2 | 10-13 | L |
Grigor Dimitrov
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/09 | Alexei Popyrin US Open · Hard |
1-3 | 15-21 | L |
| 26/08 | Timofey Skatov US Open · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 25/08 | Lorenzo Giustino US Open · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 14/08 | Sebastian Baez ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
1-2 | 13-13 | L |
| 15/07 | Nuno Borges ATP Bastad · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 14/07 | Dalibor Svrcina ATP Bastad · Clay |
2-1 | 14-16 | W |
| 06/07 | Arthur Fery Wimbledon · Grass |
2-3 | 27-27 | L |
| 04/07 | Matteo Berrettini Wimbledon · Grass |
3-2 | 26-23 | W |
| 02/07 | Jakub Mensik Wimbledon · Grass |
3-1 | 24-20 | W |
| 30/06 | Dane Sweeny Wimbledon · Grass |
3-0 | 20-14 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Elmer Moller vs Grigor Dimitrov?
Our model gives 72% to Grigor Dimitrov, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.