Prediction: Botic Van De Zandschulp vs Johan Alexander Rodriguez
Team pages: Botic Van De Zandschulp · Johan Alexander Rodriguez
Prediction summary
Winner
Botic Van De Zandschulp
Johan Alexander Rodriguez
Estimated games
24.1
Recent form · 10 last
Botic Van De Zandschulp
5-5 (W-L)
Johan Alexander Rodriguez
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Botic Van De Zandschulp 1544 · Johan Alexander Rodriguez 1486
| Botic Van De Zandschulp | Johan Alexander Rodriguez | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 58% | 42% |
| Market | 94% | 6% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Botic Van De Zandschulp (rating 1544 vs 1486).
- Botic Van De Zandschulp dominates on serve: 9.8 aces and 50.4% break avg.
- Note: Botic Van De Zandschulp makes many double faults (6.2/match).
Statistics
| Botic Van De Zandschulp | Johan Alexander Rodriguez | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 70% (10) | 50% (2) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.8-1.1 | 1.1-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 15.8-13.3 | 11-11.9 |
| Aces | 9.8 | 1.2 |
| Double faults | 6.2 | 1.4 |
| 1st serve % | 69.7% | 60.4% |
| Break % | 50.4% | 41.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
24.1
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Botic Van De Zandschulp
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/09 | Alexander Zverev US Open · Hard |
0-3 | 8-19 | L |
| 07/09 | Arthur Gea US Open · Hard |
3-2 | 29-29 | W |
| 05/09 | Zizou Bergs US Open · Hard |
3-2 | 27-27 | W |
| 04/09 | Alex De Minaur US Open · Hard |
3-0 | 19-11 | W |
| 02/09 | Jan Choinski US Open · Hard |
3-0 | 19-10 | W |
| 27/08 | Benjamin Bonzi ATP Winston-Salem · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 26/08 | Luciano Darderi ATP Winston-Salem · Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 25/08 | Adolfo Daniel Vallejo ATP Winston-Salem · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 16/08 | Joao Fonseca ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 14/08 | Alexander Shevchenko ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
Johan Alexander Rodriguez
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/07 | Elijah Strode M15 Huamantla · ~Hard |
1-2 | 15-19 | L |
| 28/07 | Jacob Brumm M15 Huamantla · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 06/07 | Alan Magadan Challenger Bogota · Clay |
0-2 | 10-14 | L |
| 30/06 | Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida Challenger Quito · Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 16/06 | Matias Soto Challenger Asuncion · Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 14/06 | Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi Challenger San Miguel de Tucuman · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 13/06 | Nicolas Kicker Challenger San Miguel de Tucuman · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 12/06 | Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida Challenger San Miguel de Tucuman · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 11/06 | Eduardo Ribeiro Challenger San Miguel de Tucuman · Clay |
2-1 | 12-14 | W |
| 10/06 | Juan Manuel La Serna Challenger San Miguel de Tucuman · Clay |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Botic Van De Zandschulp vs Johan Alexander Rodriguez?
Our model gives 78% to Botic Van De Zandschulp, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.