Tennis · Challenger Rennes · 17/09, 11:00
Prediction: Daniel Rincon vs Titouan Droguet
Team pages: Daniel Rincon · Titouan Droguet
Prediction summary
Winner
Daniel Rincon
Titouan Droguet
Estimated games
23.4
Recent form · 10 last
Daniel Rincon
3-7 (W-L)
Titouan Droguet
8-2 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Daniel Rincon
1–0
Titouan Droguet
(1 last)
- 24 Aug2-1 15-16W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Daniel Rincon 1500 · Titouan Droguet 1598
| Daniel Rincon | Titouan Droguet | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 36% | 64% |
| Market | 22% | 78% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Titouan Droguet (rating 1500 vs 1598).
- Titouan Droguet dominates on serve: 7.6 aces and 50.4% break avg.
- Titouan Droguet is in better form: 80% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Daniel Rincon 1–0 Titouan Droguet (1).
Statistics
| Daniel Rincon | Titouan Droguet | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 80% |
| Win % · Hard | 57% (7) | 80% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.4 | 1.8-0.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.6-12.9 | 13.7-10.3 |
| Aces | 6.4 | 7.6 |
| Double faults | 2 | 2.7 |
| 1st serve % | 69.1% | 73.8% |
| Break % | 39.9% | 50.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.4
H2H · Daniel Rincon 1 – 0 Titouan Droguet (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Daniel Rincon 1–0 Titouan Droguet
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24/08/26 US Open | 2-1 | 15-16 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Daniel Rincon
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/09 | Ugo Blanchet Challenger Cassis · Hard |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 08/09 | Manas Manoj Dhamne Challenger Cassis · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 03/09 | Inaki Montes-De La Torre Challenger Manacor · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 02/09 | Daniil Glinka Challenger Manacor · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 27/08 | Tomas Barrios Vera US Open · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 26/08 | Jordan Lee US Open · Hard |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
| 24/08 | Titouan Droguet US Open · Hard |
2-1 | 15-16 | W |
| 04/08 | Zsombor Piros Challenger Hagen · Clay |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 27/07 | Juan Carlos Prado Angelo Challenger San Marino · Clay |
1-2 | 14-18 | L |
| 22/07 | Thiago Seyboth Wild Challenger Zug · Clay |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
Titouan Droguet
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/09 | Michele Ribecai Challenger Rennes · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 13/09 | Mark Lajal Challenger Cassis · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 12/09 | Nicolai Budkov Kjaer Challenger Cassis · Hard |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
| 11/09 | Daniil Glinka Challenger Cassis · Hard |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 09/09 | Gijs Brouwer Challenger Cassis · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 07/09 | Maxime Chazal Challenger Cassis · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 24/08 | Daniel Rincon US Open · Hard |
1-2 | 16-15 | L |
| 14/08 | Matteo Berrettini ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 13/08 | Stefanos Sakellaridis ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 12/08 | Alexei Popyrin ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Daniel Rincon vs Titouan Droguet?
Our model gives 72% to Titouan Droguet, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.