Tennis · Challenger Rennes · 18/09, 16:30
Prediction: Matisse Bobichon vs Tristan Schoolkate
Team pages: Matisse Bobichon · Tristan Schoolkate
Prediction summary
Winner
Matisse Bobichon
Tristan Schoolkate
Estimated games
24
Recent form · 10 last
Matisse Bobichon
7-3 (W-L)
Tristan Schoolkate
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Matisse Bobichon 1583 · Tristan Schoolkate 1568
| Matisse Bobichon | Tristan Schoolkate | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 52% | 48% |
| Market | 23% | 77% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Matisse Bobichon dominates on serve: 7 aces and 41.4% break avg.
- Tristan Schoolkate dominates on serve: 10.1 aces and 42.7% break avg.
Statistics
| Matisse Bobichon | Tristan Schoolkate | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 86% (7) | 70% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-0.7 | 1.8-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.7-10.2 | 15.2-13.1 |
| Aces | 7 | 10.1 |
| Double faults | 3.4 | 2.8 |
| 1st serve % | 76.2% | 77.2% |
| Break % | 41.4% | 42.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
24
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Matisse Bobichon
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/09 | Adrian Mannarino Challenger Rennes · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 15/09 | Eliakim Coulibaly Challenger Rennes · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 14/09 | Justin Boulais Challenger Rennes · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 13/09 | Alex Kobelt Challenger Rennes · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 08/09 | Jurij Rodionov Challenger Cassis · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 07/09 | Justin Boulais Challenger Cassis · Hard |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
| 06/09 | Adil Kalyanpur Challenger Cassis · Hard |
2-1 | 17-10 | W |
| 04/09 | Robin Bertrand M25 Bagneres-de-Bigorre |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 03/09 | Nicolas Tepmahc M25 Bagneres-de-Bigorre |
2-1 | 17-12 | W |
| 02/09 | Adan Freire Da Silva M25 Bagneres-de-Bigorre |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
Tristan Schoolkate
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/09 | Anton Matusevich Challenger Rennes · Hard |
2-1 | 18-15 | W |
| 16/09 | Marek Gengel Challenger Rennes · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 03/09 | Flavio Cobolli US Open · Hard |
1-3 | 18-22 | L |
| 01/09 | Nishesh Basavareddy US Open · Hard |
3-1 | 22-19 | W |
| 28/08 | Liam Draxl US Open · Hard |
2-1 | 18-17 | W |
| 27/08 | Seong Chan Hong US Open · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 26/08 | Jack Secord US Open · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 18/08 | Stefanos Sakellaridis Challenger Quebec City · Hard |
1-2 | 15-16 | L |
| 17/08 | Nicolas Arseneault Challenger Quebec City · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 14/08 | Andre Ilagan Challenger Brownsburg · Hard |
1-2 | 11-14 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Matisse Bobichon vs Tristan Schoolkate?
Our model gives 64% to Tristan Schoolkate, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.