Tennis · Challenger Rennes · 18/09, 20:30
Prediction: Francesco Maestrelli vs Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg
Team pages: Francesco Maestrelli · Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg
Prediction summary
Winner
Francesco Maestrelli
Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg
Estimated games
22.8
Recent form · 10 last
Francesco Maestrelli
4-6 (W-L)
Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg
8-2 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Francesco Maestrelli
2–0
Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg
(2 last)
- 11 Nov2-1 13-9W
- 01 Nov2-0 14-12W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Francesco Maestrelli 1512 · Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg 1540
| Francesco Maestrelli | Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 46% | 54% |
| Market | 38% | 63% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Francesco Maestrelli dominates on serve: 7.9 aces and 60.2% break avg.
- Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg dominates on serve: 6.1 aces and 56.3% break avg.
- Head-to-head: Francesco Maestrelli 2–0 Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg (2).
- Note: Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg makes many double faults (4.2/match).
Statistics
| Francesco Maestrelli | Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (8) | 71% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1.2 | 1.5-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.5-12 | 12.3-10.8 |
| Aces | 7.9 | 6.1 |
| Double faults | 3.1 | 4.2 |
| 1st serve % | 70.9% | 72.9% |
| Break % | 60.2% | 56.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.8
H2H · Francesco Maestrelli 2 – 0 Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg (2)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Francesco Maestrelli 2–0 Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11/11/25 Challenger Lyon | 2-1 | 13-9 | W |
| 01/11/24 M25 Monastir | 2-0 | 14-12 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Francesco Maestrelli
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/09 | Yanis Ghazouani Durand Challenger Rennes · Hard |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 16/09 | Arthur Nagel Challenger Rennes · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 11/09 | Maks Kasnikowski Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
1-2 | 7-14 | L |
| 09/09 | Alafia Ayeni Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
2-1 | 18-12 | W |
| 08/09 | Juan Pablo Ficovich Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 24/08 | Toby Samuel US Open · Hard |
1-2 | 11-18 | L |
| 19/08 | Alexei Popyrin Challenger Quebec City · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 12/08 | Bu Yunchaokete ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 30/07 | Juan Pablo Varillas Challenger San Marino · Clay |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 28/07 | Lukas Neumayer Challenger San Marino · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/09 | Ugo Blanchet Challenger Rennes · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 15/09 | Maxime Janvier Challenger Rennes · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 10/09 | Mark Lajal Challenger Cassis · Hard |
1-2 | 14-18 | L |
| 08/09 | Mae Malige Challenger Cassis · Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 02/09 | Michele Ribecai Challenger Manacor · Hard |
1-2 | 10-15 | L |
| 01/09 | Sergio Callejon Hernando Challenger Manacor · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 31/08 | Izan Almazan Valiente Challenger Manacor · Hard |
2-1 | 15-14 | W |
| 28/07 | Guido Ivan Justo Challenger Liberec · Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 23/07 | Igor Marcondes Challenger Tampere · Clay |
1-2 | 15-19 | L |
| 21/07 | Nicolai Budkov Kjaer Challenger Tampere · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Francesco Maestrelli vs Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg?
Our model gives 59% to Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.