Tennis · M15 Monastir · 17/09, 10:30

Prediction: Damien Salvestre vs James Connel

Team pages: Damien Salvestre · James Connel

Prediction summary
Winner
48% 52%
Damien Salvestre James Connel
Estimated games
20
Recent form · 10 last
Damien Salvestre 6-4 (W-L)
LWWWWLLLWW
James Connel 5-5 (W-L)
WLWWWLLWLL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Damien Salvestre 1539 · James Connel 1528
Damien SalvestreJames Connel
Our model52%48%
Market44%56%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Statistics

Damien SalvestreJames Connel
Win %60%60%
Win % · Hard 100% (2) 60% (5)
Sets (G-P)1.4-0.81.2-0.9
Games (G-P)11.3-8.510-8.5
Aces5.42.5
Double faults3.82.6
1st serve %73.9%64.5%
Break %39.8%57.6%
Estimated total games (ours) 20

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Damien Salvestre

LWLWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
16/09 Charles Chen
M15 Monastir · ~Hard
2-0 12-8 W
15/09 Anuj Watane
M15 Monastir · ~Hard
2-0 13-6 W
27/08 Pierre Delage
M15 Cap d'Agde
0-2 10-13 L
26/08 Thomas Gerbaud
M15 Cap d'Agde
2-1 17-14 W
28/07 Antoni Fabre
M15 Strasbourg
1-1 4-7 L
27/07 Rene Gabriel Jung
M15 Strasbourg
2-0 12-6 W
26/07 Ryan Ndualu
M15 Strasbourg
2-0 12-1 W
20/07 Maxence Rivet
M15 Rognac
1-2 11-13 L
19/07 Jason Pimenta
M15 Rognac
2-0 12-4 W
09/07 Alexander Weis
M25 Bastia-Lucciana
0-2 10-13 L

James Connel

LLWLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
15/09 Ali Yazdani
M15 Monastir · ~Hard
2-1 16-11 W
10/09 Kasra Rahmani
M15 Monastir · ~Hard
0-2 5-12 L
09/09 Taym Alazmeh
M15 Monastir · ~Hard
2-0 12-7 W
13/05 Christian Langmo
M25 Pensacola · ~Clay
0-2 5-12 L
01/05 Nick Hardt
M15 Orange Park · ~Clay
0-2 9-13 L
30/04 Hunter Heck
M15 Orange Park · ~Clay
2-0 13-6 W
29/04 Kian Vakili
M15 Orange Park · ~Clay
2-0 12-1 W
28/04 Lucca C Pignaton
M15 Orange Park · ~Clay
2-0 12-5 W
09/04 Gauthier Onclin
M25 Monastir · ~Hard
0-2 3-12 L
08/04 Keshav Chopra
M25 Monastir · ~Hard
2-0 13-6 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Damien Salvestre vs James Connel?

Our model gives 52% to James Connel, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.