Tennis · M15 Monastir · 17/09, 10:00

Prediction: Benjamin Willwerth vs Maxi Carrascosa Diaz

Team pages: Benjamin Willwerth · Maxi Carrascosa Diaz

Prediction summary
Winner
65% 35%
Benjamin Willwerth Maxi Carrascosa Diaz
Estimated games
20.4
Recent form · 10 last
Benjamin Willwerth 6-4 (W-L)
LWWWLLWWLW
Maxi Carrascosa Diaz 6-4 (W-L)
LWLLWWWLWW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Benjamin Willwerth 1526 · Maxi Carrascosa Diaz 1499
Benjamin WillwerthMaxi Carrascosa Diaz
Our model54%46%
Market75%25%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Note: Maxi Carrascosa Diaz makes many double faults (4.9/match).

Statistics

Benjamin WillwerthMaxi Carrascosa Diaz
Win %50%50%
Win % · Hard 50% (4) 40% (5)
Sets (G-P)1.4-1.11.1-1.1
Games (G-P)11.6-10.910.2-8.5
Aces2.92
Double faults1.84.9
1st serve %66.6%65.2%
Break %45.9%40.3%
Estimated total games (ours) 20.4

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Benjamin Willwerth

LLWLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
16/09 Cesar Bouchelaghem
M15 Monastir · ~Hard
2-0 12-6 W
26/08 Aidan Mayo
Challenger Kingston · Hard
1-2 14-14 L
25/08 John Chin
Challenger Kingston · Hard
2-0 12-8 W
18/08 Gonzalo Bueno
Challenger Kingston · Hard
1-2 10-15 L
17/07 Tristan McCormick
M15 Rochester
0-2 7-12 L
17/07 Joaquim Almeida
M15 Rochester
2-1 13-12 W
15/07 Reece Falck
M15 Rochester
2-0 13-6 W
14/07 Izyan Ahmad
M15 Rochester
2-0 12-2 W
07/07 Nicolas Arseneault
M25 Laval
1-2 11-16 L
16/06 Yi Zhou
Challenger Dublin · Grass
1-2 12-18 L

Maxi Carrascosa Diaz

WWLWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
15/09 Pedro Petroski Rocha
M15 Monastir · ~Hard
2-0 12-0 W
01/09 Artem Alekseychuk
M15 Madrid
2-0 13-6 W
25/08 Pedro Rodenas
M25 Oviedo
0-2 4-12 L
24/08 Toprak Avcibasi
M25 Oviedo
2-0 12-2 W
23/08 Enzo Helguera Casado
M25 Oviedo
2-0 12-4 W
14/07 Javier Munoz Fuster
M25 Gandia
1-2 11-10 L
22/06 Carles Hernandez
M25 Bakio · ~Hard
0-2 6-12 L
11/06 Alberto Barroso Campos
M25 Martos · ~Hard
0-2 6-12 L
09/06 Alejandro Turriziani Alvarez
M25 Martos · ~Hard
2-1 17-14 W
25/02 Enrique Carrascosa Diaz
M15 Villena · ~Hard
0-2 9-13 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Benjamin Willwerth vs Maxi Carrascosa Diaz?

Our model gives 65% to Benjamin Willwerth, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.