Tennis · Challenger Rennes · 17/09, 11:00
Prediction: Borna Gojo vs Matteo Martineau
Team pages: Borna Gojo · Matteo Martineau
Prediction summary
Winner
Borna Gojo
Matteo Martineau
Estimated games
22.8
Recent form · 10 last
Borna Gojo
6-4 (W-L)
Matteo Martineau
6-4 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Borna Gojo
1–0
Matteo Martineau
(1 last)
- 24 Mar2-0 12-5W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Borna Gojo 1503 · Matteo Martineau 1505
| Borna Gojo | Matteo Martineau | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 50% | 50% |
| Market | 75% | 25% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Matteo Martineau dominates on serve: 6.4 aces and 61.5% break avg.
- Head-to-head: Borna Gojo 1–0 Matteo Martineau (1).
- Note: Matteo Martineau makes many double faults (4/match).
Statistics
| Borna Gojo | Matteo Martineau | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (8) | 56% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.1 | 1.3-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.4-10.7 | 12.8-12.7 |
| Aces | 11 | 6.4 |
| Double faults | 3.6 | 4 |
| 1st serve % | 82.2% | 73.3% |
| Break % | 27.1% | 61.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.8
H2H · Borna Gojo 1 – 0 Matteo Martineau (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Borna Gojo 1–0 Matteo Martineau
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24/03/25 Challenger Naples | 2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Borna Gojo
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/09 | Daniel Masur Challenger Rennes · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 26/08 | Bu Yunchaokete US Open · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 25/08 | Zdenek Kolar US Open · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 11/08 | Harry Wendelken Challenger Brownsburg · Hard |
1-2 | 10-15 | L |
| 06/08 | Sebastian Gorzny Challenger Lexington · Hard |
1-2 | 16-15 | L |
| 03/08 | Felix Gill Challenger Lexington · Hard |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 23/07 | Dhakshineswar Suresh Challenger Bloomfield Hills · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 21/07 | Sebastian Gorzny Challenger Bloomfield Hills · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 24/06 | Colton Smith Wimbledon · Grass |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 22/06 | Coleman Wong Wimbledon · Grass |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
Matteo Martineau
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/09 | Max Schoenhaus Challenger Rennes · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 07/09 | Gijs Brouwer Challenger Cassis · Hard |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 26/08 | Emile Hudd Challenger Roehampton · Hard |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 24/08 | Billy Blaydes Challenger Roehampton · Hard |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
| 18/08 | Lui Maxted Challenger Roehampton · Hard |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 28/07 | Max Dahlin Challenger Bonn · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 26/07 | Luka Pavlovic Challenger Segovia · Hard |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 25/07 | Oliver Crawford Challenger Segovia · Hard |
2-1 | 18-16 | W |
| 24/07 | Yanki Erel Challenger Segovia · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 23/07 | Gonzalo Villanueva Challenger Segovia · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Borna Gojo vs Matteo Martineau?
Our model gives 64% to Borna Gojo, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.