Tennis · Challenger Tiburon · 17/09, 01:00
Prediction: Sebastian Gorzny vs Nishesh Basavareddy
Team pages: Sebastian Gorzny · Nishesh Basavareddy
Prediction summary
Winner
Sebastian Gorzny
Nishesh Basavareddy
Estimated games
25.4
Recent form · 10 last
Sebastian Gorzny
6-4 (W-L)
Nishesh Basavareddy
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Sebastian Gorzny 1502 · Nishesh Basavareddy 1539
| Sebastian Gorzny | Nishesh Basavareddy | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 45% | 55% |
| Market | 22% | 78% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Sebastian Gorzny dominates on serve: 7.4 aces and 48.9% break avg.
- Note: Sebastian Gorzny makes many double faults (5.2/match).
- Note: Nishesh Basavareddy makes many double faults (4/match).
Statistics
| Sebastian Gorzny | Nishesh Basavareddy | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 56% (9) | 67% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-1.6 | 1.6-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 14.4-14.2 | 14.4-12.5 |
| Aces | 7.4 | 5.1 |
| Double faults | 5.2 | 4 |
| 1st serve % | 66.7% | 70.2% |
| Break % | 48.9% | 45.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
25.4
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Sebastian Gorzny
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/09 | Luca Staeheli Challenger Tiburon · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 02/09 | Daniil Medvedev US Open · Hard |
0-3 | 9-19 | L |
| 31/08 | Raphael Collignon US Open · Hard |
3-2 | 25-24 | W |
| 24/08 | Cruz Hewitt ATP Winston-Salem · Hard |
1-2 | 16-14 | L |
| 23/08 | Felix Balshaw ATP Winston-Salem · Hard |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 22/08 | Marc Polmans ATP Winston-Salem · Hard |
2-1 | 13-10 | W |
| 12/08 | Axel Nefve M25 East Lansing |
1-2 | 15-14 | L |
| 07/08 | Andre Ilagan Challenger Lexington · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 06/08 | Borna Gojo Challenger Lexington · Hard |
2-1 | 15-16 | W |
| 04/08 | Yu Hsiou Hsu Challenger Lexington · Hard |
2-1 | 15-9 | W |
Nishesh Basavareddy
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/09 | Igor Marcondes Challenger Tiburon · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 01/09 | Tristan Schoolkate US Open · Hard |
1-3 | 19-22 | L |
| 28/08 | Arthur Gea US Open · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 26/08 | Luka Mikrut US Open · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 25/08 | Moise Kouame US Open · Hard |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 18/08 | Andrea Pellegrino Challenger Quebec City · Hard |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 27/05 | Alex Michelsen French Open · Clay |
1-3 | 18-22 | L |
| 24/05 | Taylor Fritz French Open · Clay |
3-1 | 26-20 | W |
| 19/05 | Jaume Munar ATP Geneva · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 17/05 | Kilian Feldbausch ATP Geneva · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Sebastian Gorzny vs Nishesh Basavareddy?
Our model gives 68% to Nishesh Basavareddy, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.