Tennis · Challenger Tiburon · 17/09, 19:00
Prediction: Federico Agustin Gomez vs Darwin Blanch
Team pages: Federico Agustin Gomez · Darwin Blanch
Prediction summary
Winner
Federico Agustin Gomez
Darwin Blanch
Estimated games
22.8
Recent form · 10 last
Federico Agustin Gomez
5-5 (W-L)
Darwin Blanch
1-9 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Federico Agustin Gomez 1536 · Darwin Blanch 1421
| Federico Agustin Gomez | Darwin Blanch | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 66% | 34% |
| Market | 41% | 59% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Federico Agustin Gomez (rating 1536 vs 1421).
- Federico Agustin Gomez is in better form: 60% recent wins.
- Note: Darwin Blanch makes many double faults (4.1/match).
Statistics
| Federico Agustin Gomez | Darwin Blanch | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 20% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (2) | 13% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1 | 0.6-1.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.4-11.1 | 10.8-14.3 |
| Aces | 3 | 3.4 |
| Double faults | 3.3 | 4.1 |
| 1st serve % | 70.7% | 69.6% |
| Break % | 52.4% | 24% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.8
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Federico Agustin Gomez
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/09 | Daniel Milavsky Challenger Tiburon · Hard |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 24/08 | Mohamed Aziz Dougaz US Open · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 12/08 | Daniel Elahi Galan Challenger Todi · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 11/08 | Juan Cruz Martin Manzano Challenger Todi · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 04/08 | Henri Squire Challenger Hagen · Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 01/08 | Jan Choinski Challenger Bonn · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 31/07 | Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida Challenger Bonn · Clay |
2-1 | 16-17 | W |
| 30/07 | Samuele Pieri Challenger Bonn · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 28/07 | Max Schoenhaus Challenger Bonn · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 15/07 | Matteo Arnaldi ATP Umag · Clay |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
Darwin Blanch
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/09 | Stefan Kozlov Challenger Tiburon · Hard |
2-1 | 15-15 | W |
| 01/09 | Taylor Fritz US Open · Hard |
0-3 | 9-18 | L |
| 24/08 | Rinky Hijikata ATP Winston-Salem · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 20/08 | Lloyd Harris Challenger Cancun · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 13/08 | Aleksandar Vukic ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 28/07 | Coleman Wong ATP Los Cabos · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 21/07 | Mark Lajal Challenger Bloomfield Hills · Hard |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 15/07 | Bernard Tomic Challenger Lincoln · Hard |
1-2 | 14-18 | L |
| 10/07 | Jacob Fearnley Challenger Newport · Grass |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 09/07 | Garrett Johns Challenger Newport · Grass |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Federico Agustin Gomez vs Darwin Blanch?
Our model gives 52% to Federico Agustin Gomez, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.