Tennis · Challenger Tiburon · 17/09, 19:00
Prediction: Michael Zheng vs Trevor Svajda
Team pages: Michael Zheng · Trevor Svajda
Prediction summary
Winner
Michael Zheng
Trevor Svajda
Estimated games
25.2
Recent form · 10 last
Michael Zheng
4-6 (W-L)
Trevor Svajda
6-4 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Michael Zheng
1–0
Trevor Svajda
(1 last)
- 13 Aug2-1 16-14W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Michael Zheng 1559 · Trevor Svajda 1502
| Michael Zheng | Trevor Svajda | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 58% | 42% |
| Market | 72% | 28% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Michael Zheng (rating 1559 vs 1502).
- Michael Zheng dominates on serve: 6.9 aces and 49.9% break avg.
- Head-to-head: Michael Zheng 1–0 Trevor Svajda (1).
- Note: Michael Zheng makes many double faults (4.2/match).
Statistics
| Michael Zheng | Trevor Svajda | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 70% (10) | 50% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.9-1.2 | 1.3-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 15.9-13.8 | 13-12 |
| Aces | 6.9 | 2.1 |
| Double faults | 4.2 | 2.4 |
| 1st serve % | 75% | 74.6% |
| Break % | 49.9% | 41.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
25.2
H2H · Michael Zheng 1 – 0 Trevor Svajda (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Michael Zheng 1–0 Trevor Svajda
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13/08/26 ATP Cincinnati | 2-1 | 16-14 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Michael Zheng
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/09 | Evan Zhu Challenger Tiburon · Hard |
2-1 | 17-12 | W |
| 05/09 | Arthur Gea US Open · Hard |
2-3 | 23-26 | L |
| 04/09 | Bu Yunchaokete US Open · Hard |
3-1 | 20-14 | W |
| 02/09 | Fabian Marozsan US Open · Hard |
3-0 | 18-10 | W |
| 18/08 | Lorenzo Musetti ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 16/08 | Ugo Humbert ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 14/08 | Fabian Marozsan ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 13/08 | Trevor Svajda ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 12/08 | Moez Echargui ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
| 04/08 | Miomir Kecmanovic ATP Montreal · Hard |
1-2 | 16-17 | L |
Trevor Svajda
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/09 | Blaise Bicknell Challenger Tiburon · Hard |
2-1 | 18-16 | W |
| 25/08 | Jack Pinnington Jones US Open · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 13/08 | Michael Zheng ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 11/08 | Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
2-1 | 13-9 | W |
| 03/08 | Andres Martin Challenger Lexington · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 02/08 | Eli Stephenson Challenger Lexington · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 28/07 | Jakub Mensik ATP Washington · Hard |
1-2 | 12-18 | L |
| 26/07 | Mackenzie McDonald ATP Washington · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 25/07 | Elias Ymer ATP Washington · Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 15/07 | Mark Lajal Challenger Lincoln · Hard |
1-2 | 16-18 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Michael Zheng vs Trevor Svajda?
Our model gives 66% to Michael Zheng, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.