Tennis · Challenger Szczecin · 17/09, 10:00
Prediction: Marco Cecchinato vs Marvin Moeller
Team pages: Marco Cecchinato · Marvin Moeller
Prediction summary
Winner
Marco Cecchinato
Marvin Moeller
Estimated games
22.8
Recent form · 10 last
Marco Cecchinato
6-4 (W-L)
Marvin Moeller
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Marco Cecchinato 1528 · Marvin Moeller 1516
| Marco Cecchinato | Marvin Moeller | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 52% | 48% |
| Market | 65% | 35% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Marco Cecchinato | Marvin Moeller | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 63% (8) | 60% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-0.9 | 1.4-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.2-10.5 | 12.1-10.5 |
| Aces | 2.8 | 3 |
| Double faults | 2.2 | 2.8 |
| 1st serve % | 67.8% | 72.7% |
| Break % | 49% | 31.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.8
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Marco Cecchinato
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/09 | Henri Squire Challenger Szczecin · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 07/09 | Laslo Djere Challenger Genoa · Clay |
1-2 | 17-19 | L |
| 03/09 | Alejandro Moro Canas Challenger Porto · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 01/09 | Nick Hardt Challenger Porto · Clay |
2-1 | 16-9 | W |
| 26/08 | Vilius Gaubas US Open · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 24/08 | Liam Broady US Open · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 15/08 | Nicolas Kicker Challenger Todi · Clay |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 14/08 | Juan Bautista Torres Challenger Todi · Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 12/08 | Francesco Forti Challenger Todi · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 10/08 | Nick Hardt Challenger Todi · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
Marvin Moeller
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/09 | Daniel Michalski Challenger Szczecin · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 09/09 | Matias Soto Challenger Tulln · Clay |
1-2 | 10-15 | L |
| 27/08 | Cezar Cretu Challenger Augsburg · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 26/08 | Matias Soto Challenger Augsburg · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 25/08 | Thomas Faurel Challenger Augsburg · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 18/08 | Dimitar Kuzmanov Challenger Sion · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 16/08 | Jan Kumstat Challenger Hamburg · Clay |
1-2 | 17-18 | L |
| 15/08 | Matej Dodig Challenger Hamburg · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 14/08 | Niels McDonald Challenger Hamburg · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 12/08 | Raul Brancaccio Challenger Hamburg · Clay |
2-1 | 19-19 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Marco Cecchinato vs Marvin Moeller?
Our model gives 59% to Marco Cecchinato, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.