Tennis · Challenger Tiburon · 17/09, 19:00

Prediction: Ryan Seggerman vs Mitchell Krueger

Team pages: Ryan Seggerman · Mitchell Krueger

Prediction summary
Winner
55% 45%
Ryan Seggerman Mitchell Krueger
Estimated games
23.1
Recent form · 10 last
Ryan Seggerman 6-4 (W-L)
WWWWLLWLWL
Mitchell Krueger 6-4 (W-L)
WLLLWWWWLW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Ryan Seggerman 1529 · Mitchell Krueger 1475
Ryan SeggermanMitchell Krueger
Our model58%42%
Market54%46%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Ryan Seggerman (rating 1529 vs 1475).

Statistics

Ryan SeggermanMitchell Krueger
Win %60%40%
Win % · Hard 60% (5) 33% (6)
Sets (G-P)1.4-1.10.9-1.4
Games (G-P)12.9-11.911.1-11.5
Aces11.53
Double faults3.63.1
1st serve %78.5%68.9%
Break %39.1%37.7%
Estimated total games (ours) 23.1

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Ryan Seggerman

LLWWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
15/09 Aidan Mayo
Challenger Tiburon · Hard
2-1 13-14 W
14/09 Alex Rybakov
Challenger Tiburon · Hard
2-0 13-9 W
14/09 Andrew Fenty
Challenger Tiburon · Hard
2-1 19-14 W
22/08 Abedallah Shelbayh
ATP Winston-Salem · Hard
1-2 15-15 L
17/08 Gauthier Onclin
Challenger Cancun · Hard
0-2 7-12 L
06/07 Patrick Brady
Challenger Nottingham · Grass
0-2 9-13 L
05/07 Ali Habib
Challenger Nottingham · Grass
2-0 12-6 W
17/06 Laslo Djere
Challenger Parma · Clay
1-2 13-17 L
16/06 Luca Wiedenmann
Challenger Parma · Clay
2-0 12-3 W
15/06 Miguel Tobon
Challenger Parma · Clay
2-1 16-16 W

Mitchell Krueger

WLWLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
15/09 Keegan Smith
Challenger Tiburon · Hard
2-1 19-17 W
25/08 Mario Gonzalez Fernandez
Challenger Kingston · Hard
0-2 11-14 L
13/07 Alex Martinez
Challenger Lincoln · Hard
2-0 13-7 W
10/07 Gavin Young
M25 Dallas
1-2 15-17 L
09/07 Oliver Okonkwo
M25 Dallas
1-1 7-4 W
08/07 Aleksandar Mitric
M25 Dallas
2-0 12-4 W
28/06 Dhakshineswar Suresh
Challenger Cary · Hard
0-2 5-12 L
03/06 Henry Searle
Challenger Tyler · Hard
0-2 8-12 L
26/05 Jay Friend
Challenger Little Rock · Hard
0-2 5-12 L
18/05 Manas Manoj Dhamne
Challenger Cervia · Clay
1-2 16-16 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Ryan Seggerman vs Mitchell Krueger?

Our model gives 55% to Ryan Seggerman, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.