Tennis · Challenger Rennes · 17/09, 11:00
Prediction: Adrian Mannarino vs Matisse Bobichon
Team pages: Adrian Mannarino · Matisse Bobichon
Prediction summary
Winner
Adrian Mannarino
Matisse Bobichon
Estimated games
22.3
Recent form · 10 last
Adrian Mannarino
3-7 (W-L)
Matisse Bobichon
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Adrian Mannarino 1474 · Matisse Bobichon 1561
| Adrian Mannarino | Matisse Bobichon | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 38% | 62% |
| Market | 77% | 23% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Matisse Bobichon (rating 1474 vs 1561).
- Matisse Bobichon dominates on serve: 7 aces and 40.4% break avg.
- Matisse Bobichon is in better form: 70% recent wins.
Statistics
| Adrian Mannarino | Matisse Bobichon | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 38% (8) | 83% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.5 | 1.4-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.4-12.4 | 12.1-10.3 |
| Aces | 3.7 | 7 |
| Double faults | 2.9 | 3.7 |
| 1st serve % | 73.7% | 74% |
| Break % | 45.6% | 40.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.3
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Adrian Mannarino
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/09 | Dan Added Challenger Rennes · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 03/09 | Alexander Bublik US Open · Hard |
0-3 | 5-18 | L |
| 31/08 | Thiago Agustin Tirante US Open · Hard |
3-2 | 25-21 | W |
| 26/08 | Lorenzo Sonego ATP Winston-Salem · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 13/08 | Denis Shapovalov ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 04/08 | Jacob Fearnley ATP Montreal · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 30/07 | Alex Michelsen ATP Washington · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 28/07 | Learner Tien ATP Washington · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 09/07 | Alexis Galarneau Challenger Newport · Grass |
1-2 | 15-16 | L |
| 08/07 | Remy Bertola Challenger Newport · Grass |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
Matisse Bobichon
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/09 | Eliakim Coulibaly Challenger Rennes · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 14/09 | Justin Boulais Challenger Rennes · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 13/09 | Alex Kobelt Challenger Rennes · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 08/09 | Jurij Rodionov Challenger Cassis · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 07/09 | Justin Boulais Challenger Cassis · Hard |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
| 06/09 | Adil Kalyanpur Challenger Cassis · Hard |
2-1 | 17-10 | W |
| 04/09 | Robin Bertrand M25 Bagneres-de-Bigorre |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 03/09 | Nicolas Tepmahc M25 Bagneres-de-Bigorre |
2-1 | 17-12 | W |
| 02/09 | Adan Freire Da Silva M25 Bagneres-de-Bigorre |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 22/07 | Daniel Jovanovski M15 Brisbane |
0-1 | 7-9 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Adrian Mannarino vs Matisse Bobichon?
Our model gives 59% to Adrian Mannarino, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.