Tennis · Challenger Biella · 17/09, 10:00
Prediction: Tommaso Compagnucci vs Juan Cruz Martin Manzano
Team pages: Tommaso Compagnucci · Juan Cruz Martin Manzano
Prediction summary
Winner
Tommaso Compagnucci
Juan Cruz Martin Manzano
Estimated games
21
Recent form · 10 last
Tommaso Compagnucci
6-4 (W-L)
Juan Cruz Martin Manzano
4-6 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Tommaso Compagnucci
1–2
Juan Cruz Martin Manzano
(3 last)
- 15 Jun1-2 14-18L
- 21 Mar2-0 12-3W
- 19 Aug0-2 3-12L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Tommaso Compagnucci 1549 · Juan Cruz Martin Manzano 1498
| Tommaso Compagnucci | Juan Cruz Martin Manzano | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 57% | 43% |
| Market | 54% | 46% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Tommaso Compagnucci (rating 1549 vs 1498).
- Head-to-head: Tommaso Compagnucci 1–2 Juan Cruz Martin Manzano (3).
Statistics
| Tommaso Compagnucci | Juan Cruz Martin Manzano | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 40% |
| Win % · Clay | 67% (9) | 38% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-0.9 | 1-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.3-9.6 | 10-9.9 |
| Aces | 2.7 | 1.9 |
| Double faults | 1.6 | 3.1 |
| 1st serve % | 68.6% | 61.2% |
| Break % | 41.9% | 51.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21
H2H · Tommaso Compagnucci 1 – 2 Juan Cruz Martin Manzano (3)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Tommaso Compagnucci 1–2 Juan Cruz Martin Manzano
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15/06/26 Challenger Parma | 1-2 | 14-18 | L |
| 21/03/26 M15 Rovinj | 2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 19/08/25 M25 Lesa | 0-2 | 3-12 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Tommaso Compagnucci
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/08 | Dominic Stephan Stricker Challenger Sion · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 20/08 | Juan Manuel La Serna Challenger Sion · Clay |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
| 19/08 | Ryan Nijboer Challenger Sion · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 18/08 | Max Dahlin Challenger Sion · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 03/08 | Thiago Monteiro Challenger Hagen · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 02/08 | Aleksandr Braynin Challenger Hagen · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 28/07 | Facundo Diaz Acosta Challenger San Marino · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 27/07 | Dali Blanch Challenger San Marino · Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 26/07 | Siddhant Banthia Challenger San Marino · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 25/07 | Filip Jeff Planinsek M25 Ollersbach |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Juan Cruz Martin Manzano
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/09 | Pierluigi Basile Challenger Biella · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 14/09 | Gerard Campana Lee Challenger Biella · Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 13/09 | Michele Mecarelli Challenger Biella · Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 08/09 | Valerio Aboian Challenger Genoa · Clay |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 03/09 | Duje Ajdukovic Challenger Como · Clay |
1-2 | 15-18 | L |
| 01/09 | Fausto Tabacco Challenger Como · Clay |
2-1 | 15-9 | W |
| 22/08 | Giovanni Oradini M25 Lesa |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 19/08 | Gregorio Biondolillo M25 Lesa |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 11/08 | Federico Agustin Gomez Challenger Todi · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 10/08 | Alexander Weis Challenger Todi · Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Tommaso Compagnucci vs Juan Cruz Martin Manzano?
Our model gives 55% to Tommaso Compagnucci, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.