Tennis · Challenger Biella · 17/09, 10:00
Prediction: Francesco Forti vs Mika Brunold
Team pages: Francesco Forti · Mika Brunold
Prediction summary
Winner
Francesco Forti
Mika Brunold
Estimated games
21.1
Recent form · 10 last
Francesco Forti
4-6 (W-L)
Mika Brunold
9-1 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Francesco Forti 1507 · Mika Brunold 1637
| Francesco Forti | Mika Brunold | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 32% | 68% |
| Market | 31% | 69% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Mika Brunold (rating 1507 vs 1637).
- Mika Brunold is in better form: 90% recent wins.
Statistics
| Francesco Forti | Mika Brunold | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 90% |
| Win % · Clay | 56% (9) | 90% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.1 | 1.8-0.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 10-9.6 | 12.9-8.2 |
| Aces | 3.5 | 1.8 |
| Double faults | 1.9 | 2.4 |
| 1st serve % | 66.9% | 71.6% |
| Break % | 35.3% | 54.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.1
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Francesco Forti
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/09 | Gianluca Cadenasso Challenger Biella · Clay |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 08/09 | Pedro Martinez Challenger Genoa · Clay |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 07/09 | Federico Iannaccone Challenger Genoa · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 06/09 | Niccolo Ciavarella Challenger Genoa · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 01/09 | Jay Clarke Challenger Como · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 30/08 | Giorgio Ricca Challenger Como · Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 18/08 | Andrea De Marchi M25 Lesa |
0-2 | 6-9 | L |
| 12/08 | Marco Cecchinato Challenger Todi · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 11/08 | Michele Mecarelli Challenger Todi · Clay |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 29/07 | Facundo Diaz Acosta Challenger San Marino · Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
Mika Brunold
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/09 | Massimo Giunta Challenger Biella · Clay |
2-1 | 14-14 | W |
| 13/09 | Joao Lucas Reis da Silva Challenger Tulln · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 12/09 | Vitaliy Sachko Challenger Tulln · Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 11/09 | Gustavo Heide Challenger Tulln · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 10/09 | Filip Misolic Challenger Tulln · Clay |
2-1 | 18-10 | W |
| 07/09 | Matthew William Donald Challenger Tulln · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 06/09 | Kai Wehnelt Challenger Tulln · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 26/08 | Sandro Kopp Challenger Augsburg · Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 25/08 | Raphael Perot Challenger Augsburg · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 24/08 | Liam Gavrielides Challenger Augsburg · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Francesco Forti vs Mika Brunold?
Our model gives 68% to Mika Brunold, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.