Tennis · Challenger Szczecin · 17/09, 10:00
Prediction: Filip Pieczonka vs Marco Trungelliti
Team pages: Filip Pieczonka · Marco Trungelliti
Prediction summary
Winner
Filip Pieczonka
Marco Trungelliti
Estimated games
25.2
Recent form · 10 last
Filip Pieczonka
5-5 (W-L)
Marco Trungelliti
2-8 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Filip Pieczonka 1543 · Marco Trungelliti 1509
| Filip Pieczonka | Marco Trungelliti | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 55% | 45% |
| Market | 19% | 81% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Filip Pieczonka makes many double faults (6.5/match).
- Note: Marco Trungelliti makes many double faults (5.8/match).
Statistics
| Filip Pieczonka | Marco Trungelliti | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 60% (5) | 33% (3) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-1 | 1.4-1.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 12-11.2 | 13.9-15.3 |
| Aces | 3.5 | 5.9 |
| Double faults | 6.5 | 5.8 |
| 1st serve % | 70.2% | 70% |
| Break % | 36.4% | 41.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
25.2
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Filip Pieczonka
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/09 | Tiago Pereira Challenger Szczecin · Clay |
2-1 | 18-16 | W |
| 14/09 | Nikita Mashtakov Challenger Szczecin · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 13/09 | Carlos Sanchez Jover Challenger Szczecin · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 29/08 | Michael Savano M25 Poznan |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 28/08 | Gerard Campana Lee M25 Poznan |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 27/08 | Oleg Prihodko M25 Poznan |
2-1 | 13-14 | W |
| 25/08 | Alan Wazny M25 Poznan |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 04/08 | Harold Mayot Challenger Grodzisk Mazowiecki · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 15/06 | Alexander Donski Challenger Poznan · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 17/03 | Felix Gill Challenger Murcia · Clay |
1-2 | 15-16 | L |
Marco Trungelliti
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/09 | Sean Cuenin Challenger Szczecin · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 08/09 | Tiago Pereira Challenger Seville · Clay |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 03/09 | Alexander Blockx US Open · Hard |
1-3 | 12-21 | L |
| 31/08 | Juncheng Shang US Open · Hard |
3-2 | 20-25 | W |
| 16/08 | Daniil Medvedev ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 14/08 | Hamad Medjedovic ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 13/08 | Kei Nishikori ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 12/08 | Sebastian Ofner ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
2-1 | 17-16 | W |
| 01/08 | Nicolas Mejia ATP Montreal · Hard |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 22/07 | Yannick Hanfmann ATP Kitzbuhel · Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Filip Pieczonka vs Marco Trungelliti?
Our model gives 65% to Marco Trungelliti, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.