Tennis · WTA Ljubljana · 16/09, 11:30
Prediction: Weronika Falkowska vs Laura Samsonova
Team pages: Weronika Falkowska · Laura Samsonova
Prediction summary
Winner
Weronika Falkowska
Laura Samsonova
Estimated games
24.9
Recent form · 10 last
Weronika Falkowska
4-6 (W-L)
Laura Samsonova
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Weronika Falkowska 1476 · Laura Samsonova 1561
| Weronika Falkowska | Laura Samsonova | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 38% | 62% |
| Market | 22% | 78% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Laura Samsonova (rating 1476 vs 1561).
- Note: Weronika Falkowska makes many double faults (5.8/match).
- Note: Laura Samsonova makes many double faults (7.8/match).
Statistics
| Weronika Falkowska | Laura Samsonova | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 33% (3) | 86% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-1.5 | 1.4-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.9-13.9 | 12.6-12.1 |
| Aces | 4.5 | 3.6 |
| Double faults | 5.8 | 7.8 |
| 1st serve % | 66.9% | 63.4% |
| Break % | 43.8% | 49.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
24.9
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Weronika Falkowska
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/09 | Kristina Novak WTA Ljubljana · Clay |
2-1 | 15-14 | W |
| 07/09 | Elizara Yaneva WTA Antalya · Clay |
1-2 | 13-14 | L |
| 26/08 | Anastasia Zolotareva W75 Bytom |
1-2 | 15-15 | L |
| 19/08 | Lisa Zaar W75 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
1-2 | 7-14 | L |
| 06/08 | Carol Young Suh Lee WTA Warsaw · Hard |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 05/08 | Noma Noha Akugue WTA Warsaw · Hard |
2-1 | 17-17 | W |
| 03/08 | Amelia Paszun WTA Warsaw · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 29/07 | Chloe Noel W50 Dublin |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 15/07 | Hanne Vandewinkel WTA Istanbul · Hard |
1-2 | 14-15 | L |
| 14/07 | Deniz Dilek WTA Istanbul · Hard |
2-1 | 18-15 | W |
Laura Samsonova
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/09 | Lucija Ciric Bagaric WTA Ljubljana · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 25/08 | Tamara Zidansek US Open Women · Hard |
1-2 | 16-19 | L |
| 04/08 | Mona Barthel WTA Warsaw · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 02/08 | Kaitlin Quevedo WTA Targu Mures · Clay |
2-1 | 14-10 | W |
| 01/08 | Lucia Bronzetti WTA Targu Mures · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 31/07 | Mia Ristic WTA Targu Mures · Clay |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 28/07 | Alesia Breaz WTA Targu Mures · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 21/07 | Maya Joint WTA Prague · Hard |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 16/07 | Gina Feistel WTA Kitzbuhel · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 14/07 | Laura Pigossi WTA Kitzbuhel · Clay |
2-1 | 18-17 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Weronika Falkowska vs Laura Samsonova?
Our model gives 71% to Laura Samsonova, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.