Tennis · WTA Ljubljana · 16/09, 13:00
Prediction: Miriam Bulgaru vs Mia Ristic
Team pages: Miriam Bulgaru · Mia Ristic
Prediction summary
Winner
Miriam Bulgaru
Mia Ristic
Estimated games
21.3
Recent form · 10 last
Miriam Bulgaru
4-6 (W-L)
Mia Ristic
6-4 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Miriam Bulgaru
1–1
Mia Ristic
(2 last)
- 14 Aug0-2 6-10L
- 08 Aug2-0 12-6W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Miriam Bulgaru 1501 · Mia Ristic 1591
| Miriam Bulgaru | Mia Ristic | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 37% | 63% |
| Market | 28% | 72% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Mia Ristic (rating 1501 vs 1591).
- Mia Ristic is in better form: 80% recent wins.
- Note: Miriam Bulgaru makes many double faults (4.1/match).
Statistics
| Miriam Bulgaru | Mia Ristic | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 80% |
| Win % · Clay | 50% (10) | 86% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.3 | 1.6-0.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.8-10.8 | 12.1-9.7 |
| Aces | 1.3 | 2.4 |
| Double faults | 4.1 | 0.7 |
| 1st serve % | 57% | 63.4% |
| Break % | 50.7% | 47.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.3
H2H · Miriam Bulgaru 1 – 1 Mia Ristic (2)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Miriam Bulgaru 1–1 Mia Ristic
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14/08/25 W75 Kursumlijska Banja | 0-2 | 6-10 | L |
| 08/08/25 W35 Kursumlijska Banja | 2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Miriam Bulgaru
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/09 | Lina Gjorcheska WTA Ljubljana · Clay |
2-1 | 13-12 | W |
| 09/09 | Irene Burillo Escorihuela WTA Antalya · Clay |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 08/09 | Federica Urgesi WTA Antalya · Clay |
2-1 | 14-14 | W |
| 27/08 | Maria Golovina W50 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-10 | L |
| 26/08 | Alina Yuneva W50 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 20/08 | Samira De Stefano W75 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 19/08 | Natalija Senic W75 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 28/07 | Carole Monnet WTA Targu Mures · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 23/07 | Francesca Jones WTA Palermo · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 21/07 | Caijsa Wilda Hennemann WTA Palermo · Clay |
2-1 | 15-9 | W |
Mia Ristic
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/09 | Martina Colmegna WTA Ljubljana · Clay |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 07/09 | Lina Gjorcheska WTA Antalya · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 28/08 | Himeno Sakatsume US Open Women · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 26/08 | Francisca Jorge US Open Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 24/08 | Ayana Akli US Open Women · Hard |
2-1 | 13-13 | W |
| 16/08 | Rositsa Dencheva W75 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 15/08 | Matilde Paoletti W75 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-1 | 18-16 | W |
| 14/08 | Lisa Zaar W75 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
| 13/08 | Zhibek Kulambayeva W75 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 11/08 | Havah Kaur Kaler W75 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Miriam Bulgaru vs Mia Ristic?
Our model gives 68% to Mia Ristic, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.