Tennis · WTA Ljubljana · 16/09, 11:30
Prediction: Lucie Havlickova vs Ekaterine Gorgodze
Team pages: Lucie Havlickova · Ekaterine Gorgodze
Prediction summary
Winner
Lucie Havlickova
Ekaterine Gorgodze
Estimated games
22.4
Recent form · 10 last
Lucie Havlickova
6-4 (W-L)
Ekaterine Gorgodze
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Lucie Havlickova 1566 · Ekaterine Gorgodze 1560
| Lucie Havlickova | Ekaterine Gorgodze | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 51% | 49% |
| Market | 69% | 31% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Lucie Havlickova makes many double faults (5.2/match).
Statistics
| Lucie Havlickova | Ekaterine Gorgodze | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 70% |
| Win % · Clay | 67% (3) | 67% (3) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-0.8 | 1.4-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.8-9.1 | 12.6-12.6 |
| Aces | 3.8 | 0.7 |
| Double faults | 5.2 | 0.9 |
| 1st serve % | 66% | 58.1% |
| Break % | 40.8% | 44.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.4
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Lucie Havlickova
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/09 | Aurora Zantedeschi WTA Ljubljana · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 11/09 | Fiona Ferro WTA Montreux · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 08/09 | Lola Radivojevic WTA Montreux · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 01/09 | Anna Bondar US Open Women · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 28/08 | Nao Hibino US Open Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 26/08 | Moyuka Uchijima US Open Women · Hard |
2-1 | 15-14 | W |
| 25/08 | Elizara Yaneva US Open Women · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 19/08 | Valeriya Strakhova W50 Prague |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 18/08 | Victoria Bervid W50 Prague |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 23/07 | Barbora Krejcikova WTA Prague · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Ekaterine Gorgodze
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/09 | Maria Lourdes Carle WTA Ljubljana · Clay |
2-1 | 19-16 | W |
| 27/08 | Gabriela Knutson US Open Women · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 26/08 | Despina Papamichail US Open Women · Hard |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 24/08 | Katarzyna Kawa US Open Women · Hard |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 09/08 | Hanne Vandewinkel W100 Landisville |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 08/08 | Caroline Dolehide W100 Landisville |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 07/08 | Ekaterina Ovcharenko W100 Landisville |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 05/08 | Xiaodi You W100 Landisville |
2-1 | 13-9 | W |
| 22/07 | Yasmine Kabbaj WTA Palermo · Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 20/07 | Ane Mintegi Del Olmo WTA Palermo · Clay |
2-1 | 17-18 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Lucie Havlickova vs Ekaterine Gorgodze?
Our model gives 61% to Lucie Havlickova, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.