Tennis · M15 Monastir · 16/09, 13:30
Prediction: Charles Chen vs Damien Salvestre
Team pages: Charles Chen · Damien Salvestre
Prediction summary
Winner
Charles Chen
Damien Salvestre
Estimated games
21.2
Recent form · 10 last
Charles Chen
4-6 (W-L)
Damien Salvestre
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Charles Chen 1430 · Damien Salvestre 1532
| Charles Chen | Damien Salvestre | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 36% | 64% |
| Market | 22% | 78% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Damien Salvestre (rating 1430 vs 1532).
- Damien Salvestre is in better form: 60% recent wins.
- Note: Charles Chen makes many double faults (5/match).
Statistics
| Charles Chen | Damien Salvestre | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 20% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 0% (4) | 100% (1) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.7-1.6 | 1.4-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.7-12.5 | 11.2-8.2 |
| Aces | 5.4 | 5.3 |
| Double faults | 5 | 3.6 |
| 1st serve % | 70.4% | 74.3% |
| Break % | 39.1% | 41% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.2
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Charles Chen
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/06 | Sergi Fita Juan M15 Getxo · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 10/06 | Felipe Jose Rivadeneira Gallegos M15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
1-2 | 17-18 | L |
| 04/06 | Ivan Marrero Curbelo M15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
1-2 | 10-14 | L |
| 20/05 | Eyad Reda Ezzat Mohamed Sherif M15 Hurghada · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 13/05 | Bekkhan Atlangeriev M25 Hurghada · ~Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 12/05 | Zachary Sands M25 Hurghada · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 11/05 | Finn Reilly M25 Hurghada · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 06/05 | Peter Alam M15 Hurghada · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 20/04 | Pablo Aunion M15 Sanxenxo · ~Hard |
1-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 14/04 | Alexandre Reco M15 Ceuta · ~Hard |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
Damien Salvestre
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/09 | Anuj Watane M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 27/08 | Pierre Delage M15 Cap d'Agde |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 26/08 | Thomas Gerbaud M15 Cap d'Agde |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 28/07 | Antoni Fabre M15 Strasbourg |
1-1 | 4-7 | L |
| 27/07 | Rene Gabriel Jung M15 Strasbourg |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 26/07 | Ryan Ndualu M15 Strasbourg |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 20/07 | Maxence Rivet M15 Rognac |
1-2 | 11-13 | L |
| 19/07 | Jason Pimenta M15 Rognac |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 09/07 | Alexander Weis M25 Bastia-Lucciana |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 08/07 | Mikail Alimli M25 Bastia-Lucciana |
2-0 | 11-5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Charles Chen vs Damien Salvestre?
Our model gives 72% to Damien Salvestre, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.