Tennis · Challenger Biella · 17/09, 10:00
Prediction: Carlo Alberto Caniato vs Izan Almazan Valiente
Team pages: Carlo Alberto Caniato · Izan Almazan Valiente
Prediction summary
Winner
Carlo Alberto Caniato
Izan Almazan Valiente
Estimated games
22.1
Recent form · 10 last
Carlo Alberto Caniato
6-4 (W-L)
Izan Almazan Valiente
8-2 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Carlo Alberto Caniato
1–1
Izan Almazan Valiente
(2 last)
- 30 Jun2-0 12-3W
- 12 Feb0-2 10-13L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Carlo Alberto Caniato 1502 · Izan Almazan Valiente 1548
| Carlo Alberto Caniato | Izan Almazan Valiente | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 43% | 57% |
| Market | 63% | 38% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Izan Almazan Valiente (rating 1502 vs 1548).
Statistics
| Carlo Alberto Caniato | Izan Almazan Valiente | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 40% (10) | 80% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.2 | 1.5-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.2-10.2 | 13-10.3 |
| Aces | 4.9 | 3.6 |
| Double faults | 2.2 | 3.4 |
| 1st serve % | 72.8% | 70.8% |
| Break % | 37.7% | 55% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.1
H2H · Carlo Alberto Caniato 1 – 1 Izan Almazan Valiente (2)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Carlo Alberto Caniato 1–1 Izan Almazan Valiente
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30/06/26 Challenger Troyes | 2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 12/02/25 M15 Sharm El Sheikh | 0-2 | 10-13 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Carlo Alberto Caniato
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/09 | Giuseppe La Vela Challenger Biella · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 10/09 | Pierre Delage M25 Rabat · ~Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 09/09 | Amine Jamji M25 Rabat · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 11/08 | Francesco Passaro Challenger Todi · Clay |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 10/08 | Gabriele Crivellaro Challenger Todi · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 09/08 | Federico Cecconi Challenger Todi · Clay |
2-0 | 12-0 | W |
| 04/08 | Gabriele Piraino Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 28/07 | Andrea Pellegrino Challenger San Marino · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 14/07 | Maxim Mrva Challenger Cordenons · Clay |
1-2 | 16-16 | L |
| 07/07 | Hugo Dellien Challenger Trieste · Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
Izan Almazan Valiente
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/09 | Franco Agamenone Challenger Biella · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 14/09 | Gianmarco Ferrari Challenger Biella · Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 13/09 | Matteo Covato Challenger Biella · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 07/09 | Santiago Rodriguez Taverna Challenger Seville · Clay |
1-2 | 12-13 | L |
| 06/09 | Saba Purtseladze Challenger Seville · Clay |
2-1 | 15-9 | W |
| 31/08 | Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg Challenger Manacor · Hard |
1-2 | 14-15 | L |
| 20/08 | Rodrigo Fernandes M25 Idanha-A-Nova |
0-2 | 10-14 | L |
| 19/08 | Diogo Morais M25 Idanha-A-Nova |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 13/08 | Tristan McCormick M25 Idanha-A-Nova |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 12/08 | Maxwell McKennon M25 Idanha-A-Nova |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Carlo Alberto Caniato vs Izan Almazan Valiente?
Our model gives 54% to Carlo Alberto Caniato, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.