Tennis · Challenger Biella · 17/09, 10:00
Prediction: Alex Barrena vs Samuele Pieri
Team pages: Alex Barrena · Samuele Pieri
Prediction summary
Winner
Alex Barrena
Samuele Pieri
Estimated games
23.2
Recent form · 10 last
Alex Barrena
4-6 (W-L)
Samuele Pieri
8-2 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Alex Barrena 1519 · Samuele Pieri 1535
| Alex Barrena | Samuele Pieri | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 48% | 52% |
| Market | 54% | 46% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Alex Barrena | Samuele Pieri | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 60% (10) | 33% (3) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.2 | 1.6-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.4-11.5 | 13.3-10.1 |
| Aces | 1.3 | 2.9 |
| Double faults | 1.7 | 1.3 |
| 1st serve % | 58.7% | 73.1% |
| Break % | 44% | 49% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.2
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Alex Barrena
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/09 | Maxime Chazal Challenger Biella · Clay |
2-1 | 13-13 | W |
| 12/09 | Joao Lucas Reis da Silva Challenger Tulln · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 11/09 | Zdenek Kolar Challenger Tulln · Clay |
2-1 | 20-17 | W |
| 09/09 | Nico Hipfl Challenger Tulln · Clay |
2-1 | 18-12 | W |
| 07/09 | Ognjen Milic Challenger Tulln · Clay |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 01/09 | Gilles Arnaud Bailly Challenger Porto · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 15/08 | Maxim Mrva Challenger Todi · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 13/08 | Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi Challenger Todi · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 11/08 | Georgii Kravchenko Challenger Todi · Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 05/08 | Henri Squire Challenger Hagen · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Samuele Pieri
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/09 | Gabriele Piraino Challenger Biella · Clay |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
| 30/08 | Sebastian Dominko M25 Maribor |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 29/08 | Sebastian Sorger M25 Maribor |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 28/08 | Andrea De Marchi M25 Maribor |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 27/08 | Nicolo Toffanin M25 Maribor |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 25/08 | Theodore Dean M25 Maribor |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 20/08 | Jonas Gundacker M25 Slovenj Gradec |
1-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 19/08 | Miha Vetrih M25 Slovenj Gradec |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 09/08 | Federico Zeballos Challenger Hamburg · Clay |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 06/08 | Gerard Campana Lee Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Alex Barrena vs Samuele Pieri?
Our model gives 51% to Alex Barrena, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.