Tennis · Challenger Biella · 16/09, 10:00

Prediction: Gerard Campana Lee vs Felix Gill

Team pages: Gerard Campana Lee · Felix Gill

Prediction summary
Winner
47% 53%
Gerard Campana Lee Felix Gill
Estimated games
23.7
Recent form · 10 last
Gerard Campana Lee 4-6 (W-L)
LLWLWLLWWL
Felix Gill 5-5 (W-L)
LLWWWLWLLW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Gerard Campana Lee 1562 · Felix Gill 1486
Gerard Campana LeeFelix Gill
Our model61%39%
Market35%65%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Gerard Campana Lee (rating 1562 vs 1486).
  • Gerard Campana Lee is in better form: 70% recent wins.

Statistics

Gerard Campana LeeFelix Gill
Win %70%40%
Win % · Clay 71% (7) 50% (2)
Sets (G-P)1.4-0.91.1-1.5
Games (G-P)12.2-10.212.8-13.5
Aces2.75.3
Double faults1.22
1st serve %69.1%73.1%
Break %53.3%35.1%
Estimated total games (ours) 23.7

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Gerard Campana Lee

WLWWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
15/09 Carlos Taberner
Challenger Biella · Clay
2-1 18-17 W
14/09 Juan Cruz Martin Manzano
Challenger Biella · Clay
2-0 13-7 W
13/09 Gabriele Bosio
Challenger Biella · Clay
2-0 12-4 W
08/09 Max Alcala Gurri
Challenger Seville · Clay
0-2 6-13 L
07/09 Jonas Forejtek
Challenger Seville · Clay
2-1 18-14 W
06/09 Lorenzo Carboni
Challenger Seville · Clay
2-0 12-5 W
28/08 Filip Pieczonka
M25 Poznan
0-2 7-13 L
27/08 Valentin Basel
M25 Poznan
2-0 12-7 W
25/08 Jiri Cizek
M25 Poznan
2-1 15-9 W
18/08 Alex Marti Pujolras
Challenger Sion · Clay
0-2 9-13 L

Felix Gill

LWLLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
14/09 Mika Petkovic
Challenger Biella · Clay
2-0 13-9 W
08/09 Sebastian Ofner
Challenger Seville · Clay
0-2 6-12 L
24/08 Francesco Passaro
US Open · Hard
0-2 8-13 L
13/08 Colton Smith
Challenger Brownsburg · Hard
2-1 18-14 W
03/08 Borna Gojo
Challenger Lexington · Hard
1-2 14-16 L
10/07 Max Basing
Challenger Nottingham · Grass
1-2 15-15 L
09/07 Filip Jeff Planinsek
Challenger Nottingham · Grass
2-0 12-4 W
07/07 William Jansen
Challenger Nottingham · Grass
2-1 18-15 W
29/06 Rafael Jodar
Wimbledon · Grass
0-3 11-19 L
24/06 Jan Choinski
ATP Eastbourne · Grass
1-2 13-18 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Gerard Campana Lee vs Felix Gill?

Our model gives 53% to Felix Gill, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.