Tennis · Challenger Szczecin · 16/09, 10:00
Prediction: Vitaliy Sachko vs Thiago Monteiro
Team pages: Vitaliy Sachko · Thiago Monteiro
Prediction summary
Winner
Vitaliy Sachko
Thiago Monteiro
Estimated games
23.6
Recent form · 10 last
Vitaliy Sachko
6-4 (W-L)
Thiago Monteiro
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Vitaliy Sachko 1552 · Thiago Monteiro 1533
| Vitaliy Sachko | Thiago Monteiro | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 53% | 47% |
| Market | 42% | 58% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Vitaliy Sachko | Thiago Monteiro | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 63% (8) | 60% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-1 | 1.3-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.5-11.1 | 13-11.7 |
| Aces | 4.9 | 3.6 |
| Double faults | 2.6 | 3.1 |
| 1st serve % | 67.4% | 71.6% |
| Break % | 39.8% | 37.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.6
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Vitaliy Sachko
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/09 | Filip Cristian Jianu Challenger Szczecin · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 12/09 | Mika Brunold Challenger Tulln · Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 11/09 | Matias Soto Challenger Tulln · Clay |
2-1 | 13-11 | W |
| 09/09 | Marko Topo Challenger Tulln · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 08/09 | Daniel Siniakov Challenger Tulln · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 27/08 | Pablo Llamas Ruiz US Open · Hard |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 25/08 | Gauthier Onclin US Open · Hard |
2-0 | 14-10 | W |
| 12/08 | Dylan Dietrich Challenger Hamburg · Clay |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 10/08 | Chun Hsin Tseng Challenger Hamburg · Clay |
2-1 | 17-12 | W |
| 04/08 | Lorenzo Giustino Challenger Hagen · Clay |
1-2 | 16-16 | L |
Thiago Monteiro
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/09 | Stefano Travaglia Challenger Szczecin · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 10/09 | Joao Lucas Reis da Silva Challenger Tulln · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 08/09 | Max Hans Rehberg Challenger Tulln · Clay |
2-1 | 19-16 | W |
| 04/09 | Gustavo Heide Challenger Porto · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 02/09 | Mika Petkovic Challenger Porto · Clay |
2-1 | 16-9 | W |
| 31/08 | Kimmer Coppejans Challenger Porto · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 04/08 | Tom Gentzsch Challenger Hagen · Clay |
1-2 | 14-18 | L |
| 03/08 | Tommaso Compagnucci Challenger Hagen · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 02/08 | Ivan Gakhov Challenger Hagen · Clay |
2-1 | 18-15 | W |
| 31/07 | Vilius Gaubas Challenger San Marino · Clay |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Vitaliy Sachko vs Thiago Monteiro?
Our model gives 53% to Thiago Monteiro, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.