Tennis · Challenger Tiburon · 17/09, 19:00
Prediction: Tristan Boyer vs Abedallah Shelbayh
Team pages: Tristan Boyer · Abedallah Shelbayh
Prediction summary
Winner
Tristan Boyer
Abedallah Shelbayh
Estimated games
22.4
Recent form · 10 last
Tristan Boyer
4-6 (W-L)
Abedallah Shelbayh
5-5 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Tristan Boyer
0–1
Abedallah Shelbayh
(1 last)
- 25 Jul1-2 17-19L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Tristan Boyer 1485 · Abedallah Shelbayh 1527
| Tristan Boyer | Abedallah Shelbayh | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 44% | 56% |
| Market | 56% | 44% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Abedallah Shelbayh (rating 1485 vs 1527).
- Head-to-head: Tristan Boyer 0–1 Abedallah Shelbayh (1).
Statistics
| Tristan Boyer | Abedallah Shelbayh | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 44% (9) | 60% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.4 | 1.3-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 11-11.9 | 12.1-11.4 |
| Aces | 4.2 | 3.8 |
| Double faults | 3.5 | 3.9 |
| 1st serve % | 71.6% | 69.9% |
| Break % | 37.2% | 46% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.4
H2H · Tristan Boyer 0 – 1 Abedallah Shelbayh (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Tristan Boyer 0–1 Abedallah Shelbayh
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25/07/23 Challenger Salinas | 1-2 | 17-19 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Tristan Boyer
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/09 | Edward Winter Challenger Tiburon · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 25/08 | Andre Ilagan US Open · Hard |
1-2 | 14-15 | L |
| 17/08 | James Watt Challenger Quebec City · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 10/08 | Aidan Mayo Challenger Brownsburg · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 09/08 | Matthew Forbes Challenger Brownsburg · Hard |
2-1 | 13-10 | W |
| 04/08 | Edas Butvilas Challenger Lexington · Hard |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 28/07 | Gabriel Diallo ATP Los Cabos · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 26/07 | Lorenzo Claverie ATP Los Cabos · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 23/07 | Jacob Fearnley Challenger Bloomfield Hills · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 29/06 | Nuno Borges Wimbledon · Grass |
0-3 | 13-20 | L |
Abedallah Shelbayh
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/09 | Tyler Zink Challenger Tiburon · Hard |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 24/08 | Martin Damm ATP Winston-Salem · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 23/08 | Dhakshineswar Suresh ATP Winston-Salem · Hard |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 22/08 | Ryan Seggerman ATP Winston-Salem · Hard |
2-1 | 15-15 | W |
| 18/08 | Lloyd Harris Challenger Cancun · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 13/08 | Quinn Vandecasteele Challenger Brownsburg · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 07/08 | Dusan Lajovic Challenger Lexington · Hard |
1-2 | 16-15 | L |
| 05/08 | Federico Cina Challenger Lexington · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 04/08 | Alex Bolt Challenger Lexington · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 03/08 | Mees Rottgering Challenger Lexington · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Tristan Boyer vs Abedallah Shelbayh?
Our model gives 50% to Tristan Boyer, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.

