Tennis · WTA Guadalajara · 17/09, 22:00
Prediction: Zeynep Sonmez vs Iva Jovic
Team pages: Zeynep Sonmez · Iva Jovic
Prediction summary
Winner
Zeynep Sonmez
Iva Jovic
Estimated games
22.3
Recent form · 10 last
Zeynep Sonmez
5-5 (W-L)
Iva Jovic
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Zeynep Sonmez 1504 · Iva Jovic 1540
| Zeynep Sonmez | Iva Jovic | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 45% | 55% |
| Market | 24% | 76% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Zeynep Sonmez | Iva Jovic | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (8) | 63% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.3 | 1.3-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 11-12 | 11.6-11.4 |
| Aces | 1.3 | 2.9 |
| Double faults | 3.5 | 2.1 |
| 1st serve % | 62.8% | 61.6% |
| Break % | 56.9% | 61.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.3
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Zeynep Sonmez
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/09 | Iryna Shymanovich WTA Guadalajara · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 02/09 | Coco Gauff US Open Women · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 15/08 | Amanda Anisimova WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 13/08 | Daria Kasatkina WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
2-1 | 15-15 | W |
| 05/08 | Maria Sakkari WTA Toronto · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 04/08 | Rebecca Marino WTA Toronto · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 29/07 | Elvina Kalieva WTA Memphis · Hard |
1-2 | 16-17 | L |
| 28/07 | Cadence Brace WTA Memphis · Hard |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 01/07 | Claire Liu Wimbledon Women · Grass |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 29/06 | Ann Li Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-1 | 14-15 | W |
Iva Jovic
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/09 | Coco Gauff US Open Women · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 06/09 | Alexandra Eala US Open Women · Hard |
2-1 | 17-16 | W |
| 04/09 | Francesca Jones US Open Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 03/09 | Magdalena Frech US Open Women · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 19/08 | Marie Bouzkova WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 16/08 | Tamara Korpatsch WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 07/08 | Alina Korneeva WTA Toronto · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 05/08 | Magda Linette WTA Toronto · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 05/07 | Jessica Pegula Wimbledon Women · Grass |
1-2 | 10-16 | L |
| 03/07 | Ekaterina Alexandrova Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Zeynep Sonmez vs Iva Jovic?
Our model gives 67% to Iva Jovic, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.