Tennis · WTA Guadalajara · 17/09, 22:00
Prediction: Peyton Stearns vs Sloane Stephens
Team pages: Peyton Stearns · Sloane Stephens
Prediction summary
Winner
Peyton Stearns
Sloane Stephens
Estimated games
21.6
Recent form · 10 last
Peyton Stearns
5-5 (W-L)
Sloane Stephens
7-3 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Peyton Stearns
0–2
Sloane Stephens
(2 last)
- 15 Apr1-2 10-13L
- 25 May1-2 16-19L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Peyton Stearns 1518 · Sloane Stephens 1540
| Peyton Stearns | Sloane Stephens | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 47% | 53% |
| Market | 60% | 40% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Peyton Stearns 0–2 Sloane Stephens (2).
- Note: Peyton Stearns makes many double faults (4.6/match).
Statistics
| Peyton Stearns | Sloane Stephens | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 56% (9) | 60% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-1.1 | 1.3-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.6-10.6 | 10.6-10.3 |
| Aces | 4.1 | 1 |
| Double faults | 4.6 | 1.8 |
| 1st serve % | 66.2% | 63.5% |
| Break % | 44.2% | 42.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.6
H2H · Peyton Stearns 0 – 2 Sloane Stephens (2)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Peyton Stearns 0–2 Sloane Stephens
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15/04/24 WTA Rouen | 1-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 25/05/23 WTA Rabat | 1-2 | 16-19 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Peyton Stearns
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/09 | Diane Parry WTA Guadalajara · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 13/09 | Emiliana Arango WTA Guadalajara · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 31/08 | Harriet Dart US Open Women · Hard |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 16/08 | Clara Tauson WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
1-2 | 17-15 | L |
| 14/08 | Harriet Dart WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 03/08 | Elena-Gabriela Ruse WTA Toronto · Hard |
0-2 | 5-13 | L |
| 31/07 | Elvina Kalieva WTA Memphis · Hard |
1-2 | 10-14 | L |
| 30/07 | Tatiana Prozorova WTA Memphis · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 29/07 | Mary Stoiana WTA Memphis · Hard |
2-1 | 18-11 | W |
| 29/06 | Nikola Bartunkova Wimbledon Women · Grass |
1-2 | 15-16 | L |
Sloane Stephens
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/09 | Janice Tjen WTA Guadalajara · Hard |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 14/09 | Carole Monnet WTA Guadalajara · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 02/09 | Marta Kostyuk US Open Women · Hard |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 31/08 | Clara Tauson US Open Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 25/08 | Mananchaya Sawangkaew WTA Philadelphia · Hard |
1-2 | 10-16 | L |
| 18/08 | Marta Kostyuk WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 10-14 | L |
| 17/08 | Anastasia Potapova WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 15/08 | Sinja Kraus WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 05/08 | Belinda Bencic WTA Toronto · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 04/08 | Solana Sierra WTA Toronto · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Peyton Stearns vs Sloane Stephens?
Our model gives 54% to Peyton Stearns, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.