Tennis · WTA Guadalajara · 17/09, 22:00

Prediction: Magdalena Frech vs Caroline Dolehide

Team pages: Magdalena Frech · Caroline Dolehide

Prediction summary
Winner
55% 45%
Magdalena Frech Caroline Dolehide
Estimated games
21.9
Recent form · 10 last
Magdalena Frech 7-3 (W-L)
LWWWWWWLLW
Caroline Dolehide 4-6 (W-L)
WLWLLLLWLW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Magdalena Frech 1510 · Caroline Dolehide 1528
Magdalena FrechCaroline Dolehide
Our model47%53%
Market62%38%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Statistics

Magdalena FrechCaroline Dolehide
Win %50%60%
Win % · Hard 56% (9) 50% (6)
Sets (G-P)1.2-11.3-1.1
Games (G-P)11-1012.8-10.6
Aces3.72.6
Double faults2.13.6
1st serve %64.1%61.7%
Break %42.7%69%
Estimated total games (ours) 21.9

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Magdalena Frech

WWLLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
15/09 Nao Hibino
WTA Guadalajara · Hard
2-0 12-5 W
03/09 Iva Jovic
US Open Women · Hard
0-2 8-13 L
17/08 Elena Rybakina
WTA Cincinnati · Hard
0-2 10-13 L
15/08 Jelena Ostapenko
WTA Cincinnati · Hard
2-0 12-4 W
13/08 Antonia Ruzic
WTA Cincinnati · Hard
2-0 13-7 W
05/08 Jessica Pegula
WTA Toronto · Hard
1-2 11-15 L
03/08 Leolia Jeanjean
WTA Toronto · Hard
2-0 13-8 W
30/07 Jessica Pegula
WTA Washington · Hard
1-2 9-15 L
28/07 Ann Li
WTA Washington · Hard
2-0 12-7 W
29/06 Anna Kalinskaya
Wimbledon Women · Grass
0-2 10-13 L

Caroline Dolehide

LLWWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
14/09 Renata Zarazua
WTA Guadalajara · Hard
2-1 15-10 W
13/09 Sara Sorribes Tormo
WTA Guadalajara · Hard
2-1 17-15 W
12/09 Mimi Xu
WTA Guadalajara · Hard
2-0 12-4 W
25/08 Veronika Podrez
US Open Women · Hard
1-2 11-12 L
13/08 Diane Parry
WTA Cincinnati · Hard
0-2 10-13 L
08/08 Ekaterine Gorgodze
W100 Landisville
0-2 10-13 L
07/08 Polina Iatcenko
W100 Landisville
2-1 18-11 W
05/08 Savannah Broadus
W100 Landisville
2-0 12-3 W
28/07 Jia-Jing Lu
WTA Vancouver · Hard
0-2 9-13 L
26/07 Yeon Woo Ku
W100 Evansville
2-0 14-12 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Magdalena Frech vs Caroline Dolehide?

Our model gives 55% to Magdalena Frech, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.