Tennis · UTR Pro Newport Beach · 19/09, 03:30
Prediction: Mario Garcia vs Felix Corwin
Team pages: Felix Corwin
Prediction summary
Winner
Mario Garcia
Felix Corwin
Estimated games
20.2
Recent form · 10 last
Mario Garcia
2-8 (W-L)
Felix Corwin
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Mario Garcia 1449 · Felix Corwin 1556
| Mario Garcia | Felix Corwin | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 35% | 65% |
| Market | 10% | 90% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Felix Corwin (rating 1449 vs 1556).
- Felix Corwin is in better form: 70% recent wins.
- Note: Felix Corwin makes many double faults (4.6/match).
Statistics
| Mario Garcia | Felix Corwin | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 30% (10) | 100% (3) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.8-1.5 | 1.4-0.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.9-11.3 | 10.6-8.1 |
| Aces | 1.3 | 5.7 |
| Double faults | 3.6 | 4.6 |
| 1st serve % | 59.4% | 71.9% |
| Break % | 51.9% | 58.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.2
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Mario Garcia
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/09 | Ty Wunderlich UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-0 | 13-5 | W |
| 15/09 | Julian Messina UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 30/08 | Luca Ostovany UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-1 | 14-7 | W |
| 30/08 | Calvin Wang UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 29/08 | Siddharth Bharadwaj UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 28/08 | Lukas Phimvongsa UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 26/08 | Cassius Chinlund UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 24/08 | Antreas Djakouris UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 24/01 | Keshav Muthuvel UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 23/01 | Liam Alvarez UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
Felix Corwin
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/09 | Julian Messina UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 15/09 | Antreas Djakouris UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 04/09 | Carlos Maria Zarate M15 Trelew |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 03/09 | Tomas Martinez M15 Trelew |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 02/09 | Noah Schachter M15 Trelew |
0-1 | 5-7 | L |
| 01/09 | Leonel Cesar Castro M15 Trelew |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 28/08 | Oliver Okonkwo M15 Champaign |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 27/08 | Matisse Farzam M15 Champaign |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 26/08 | Colson Wells M15 Champaign |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 22/08 | Oscar Corwin UTR Pro East Lansing · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Mario Garcia vs Felix Corwin?
Our model gives 79% to Felix Corwin, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.