Tennis · M25 Sintra · 16/09, 11:00
Prediction: Benjamin Thomas George vs Tiago Cacao
Team pages: Benjamin Thomas George · Tiago Cacao
Prediction summary
Winner
Benjamin Thomas George
Tiago Cacao
Estimated games
22.1
Recent form · 10 last
Benjamin Thomas George
7-3 (W-L)
Tiago Cacao
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Benjamin Thomas George 1461 · Tiago Cacao 1518
| Benjamin Thomas George | Tiago Cacao | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 42% | 58% |
| Market | 23% | 77% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Tiago Cacao (rating 1461 vs 1518).
- Note: Benjamin Thomas George makes many double faults (6.7/match).
Statistics
| Benjamin Thomas George | Tiago Cacao | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 25% (4) | 0% (1) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.5 | 1.2-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.5-12.8 | 11.1-9.9 |
| Aces | 0.6 | 3 |
| Double faults | 6.7 | 3.9 |
| 1st serve % | 60% | 68.3% |
| Break % | 50% | 47.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.1
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Benjamin Thomas George
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/09 | Alan Sau Franco M25 Sintra |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 10/09 | Patrick Schoen M25 Sintra |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 09/09 | Goncalo Da Rosa Castro M25 Sintra |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 11/08 | Luca Pow M25 East Lansing |
1-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 28/07 | Braden Shick Challenger Vancouver · Hard |
1-2 | 14-19 | L |
| 19/07 | Garrett Johns Challenger Winnipeg · Hard |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 13/07 | James Trotter Challenger Granby · Hard |
1-2 | 16-13 | L |
| 12/07 | Alan Magadan Challenger Granby · Hard |
2-1 | 14-14 | W |
| 07/07 | Matthew Thomson M25 Laval |
1-2 | 9-16 | L |
| 18/06 | Sebastian Sorger M25 Samobor · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
Tiago Cacao
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/09 | Fausto Tabacco M25 Sintra |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 10/09 | Oscar Weightman M25 Sintra |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 08/09 | Adrien Burdet M25 Sintra |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 01/09 | Alejandro Moro Canas Challenger Porto · Clay |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 31/08 | Alafia Ayeni Challenger Porto · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 30/08 | Rodrigo Ferro Duarte Challenger Porto · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 23/08 | Fabrizio Andaloro Challenger Roehampton · Hard |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 19/08 | Goncalo Marques M25 Idanha-A-Nova |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 13/08 | Philip Henning M25 Idanha-A-Nova |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 12/08 | Francisco Rocha M25 Idanha-A-Nova |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Benjamin Thomas George vs Tiago Cacao?
Our model gives 68% to Tiago Cacao, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.