Tennis · M25 Sintra · 16/09, 11:00
Prediction: Alec Deckers vs Lars Goran Verwerft
Team pages: Alec Deckers · Lars Goran Verwerft
Prediction summary
Winner
Alec Deckers
Lars Goran Verwerft
Estimated games
23.2
Recent form · 10 last
Alec Deckers
6-4 (W-L)
Lars Goran Verwerft
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Alec Deckers 1522 · Lars Goran Verwerft 1524
| Alec Deckers | Lars Goran Verwerft | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 50% | 50% |
| Market | 79% | 21% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Alec Deckers dominates on serve: 13.7 aces and 42.7% break avg.
Statistics
| Alec Deckers | Lars Goran Verwerft | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 60% (10) | – |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-1 | 1.3-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 14-12.3 | 10.7-11.8 |
| Aces | 13.7 | 1.4 |
| Double faults | 3.7 | 3.1 |
| 1st serve % | 79.7% | 63.8% |
| Break % | 42.7% | 40.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.2
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Alec Deckers
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/09 | Pierre Antoine Tailleu Challenger Cassis · Hard |
1-2 | 15-15 | L |
| 26/08 | Max Basing Challenger Roehampton · Hard |
1-2 | 16-13 | L |
| 25/08 | Luca Potenza Challenger Roehampton · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 24/08 | Alexis Gautier Challenger Roehampton · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 23/08 | Oscar Weightman Challenger Roehampton · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 18/08 | Patrick Brady Challenger Roehampton · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 17/08 | Ali Habib Challenger Roehampton · Hard |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 16/08 | Conor Gannon Challenger Roehampton · Hard |
2-1 | 19-17 | W |
| 11/08 | Mohamed Aziz Dougaz Challenger Astana · Hard |
1-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 10/08 | Egor Agafonov Challenger Astana · Hard |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
Lars Goran Verwerft
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/09 | Adrien Burdet M25 Sintra |
2-1 | 12-11 | W |
| 19/08 | Romain Faucon M15 Lambermont |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 16/08 | Raphael Perot M25 Koksijde |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 15/08 | Michael Geerts M25 Koksijde |
2-1 | 14-12 | W |
| 14/08 | Mickael Kaouk M25 Koksijde |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 12/08 | Maximilian Marterer M25 Koksijde |
2-1 | 13-11 | W |
| 11/08 | Andre Megrabian M25 Koksijde |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
| 04/08 | Pablo Trochu M15 Eupen |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 30/07 | Murkel Dellien M25 Wetzlar |
1-2 | 14-19 | L |
| 29/07 | Arian Barbic M25 Wetzlar |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Alec Deckers vs Lars Goran Verwerft?
Our model gives 66% to Alec Deckers, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.