Tennis · M25 Sintra · 16/09, 11:00
Prediction: Diogo Morais vs Robin Bertrand
Team pages: Diogo Morais · Robin Bertrand
Prediction summary
Winner
Diogo Morais
Robin Bertrand
Estimated games
20.7
Recent form · 10 last
Diogo Morais
5-5 (W-L)
Robin Bertrand
8-2 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Diogo Morais 1507 · Robin Bertrand 1564
| Diogo Morais | Robin Bertrand | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 42% | 58% |
| Market | 14% | 86% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Robin Bertrand (rating 1507 vs 1564).
Statistics
| Diogo Morais | Robin Bertrand | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | – | 60% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1.1 | 1.5-0.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.4-10.9 | 11.1-8.4 |
| Aces | 1.3 | 3 |
| Double faults | 2.8 | 2.3 |
| 1st serve % | 62.9% | 70.3% |
| Break % | 48.9% | 64.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.7
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Diogo Morais
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/09 | Tomas Curras Abasolo M25 Sintra |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 09/09 | Max Houkes M25 Rabat · ~Clay |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 03/09 | Arthur Nagel M25 Casablanca · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 02/09 | Yazid Lahjomri M25 Casablanca · ~Clay |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 01/09 | Romesh Kahatapitiya M25 Casablanca · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 19/08 | Izan Almazan Valiente M25 Idanha-A-Nova |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 12/08 | Rocco Piatti M25 Idanha-A-Nova |
1-2 | 14-15 | L |
| 10/08 | Francisco Guimaraes M25 Idanha-A-Nova |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 16/07 | Pablo Perez Ramos M15 Castelo Branco |
1-2 | 15-19 | L |
| 14/07 | Francisco Faria M15 Castelo Branco |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
Robin Bertrand
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/09 | Mark Lajal Challenger Cassis · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 10/09 | Raphael Perot Challenger Cassis · Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 08/09 | Mathieu Scaglia Challenger Cassis · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 06/09 | Raphael Perot M25 Bagneres-de-Bigorre |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 05/09 | John Echeverria M25 Bagneres-de-Bigorre |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 04/09 | Matisse Bobichon M25 Bagneres-de-Bigorre |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 03/09 | Kenny de Schepper M25 Bagneres-de-Bigorre |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 02/09 | Luc Fomba M25 Bagneres-de-Bigorre |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 28/08 | Mathys Domenc M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 27/08 | Chetanna Amadike M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Diogo Morais vs Robin Bertrand?
Our model gives 73% to Robin Bertrand, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.