Tennis · M25 Sintra · 16/09, 11:00
Prediction: Finn Murgett vs Gian Luca Tanner
Team pages: Finn Murgett · Gian Luca Tanner
Prediction summary
Winner
Finn Murgett
Gian Luca Tanner
Estimated games
21.1
Recent form · 10 last
Finn Murgett
5-5 (W-L)
Gian Luca Tanner
3-7 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Finn Murgett 1560 · Gian Luca Tanner 1498
| Finn Murgett | Gian Luca Tanner | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 59% | 41% |
| Market | 66% | 34% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Finn Murgett (rating 1560 vs 1498).
- Note: Finn Murgett makes many double faults (4/match).
Statistics
| Finn Murgett | Gian Luca Tanner | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 80% (5) | 33% (3) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-0.8 | 1.1-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 12-9 | 10.1-10 |
| Aces | 1.2 | 1.2 |
| Double faults | 4 | 3.3 |
| 1st serve % | 66.8% | 63.5% |
| Break % | 40.4% | 44.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.1
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Finn Murgett
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/09 | Valentin Vanta M25 Sintra |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 11/09 | Goncalo Marques M25 Sintra |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 10/09 | Ryan Colby M25 Sintra |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 09/09 | Diogo Marques M25 Sintra |
2-1 | 18-9 | W |
| 30/08 | Baltazar Wiger Nordas UTR Pro Match Series · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 29/08 | Rupert George UTR Pro Match Series · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 28/08 | Sil Hollemans UTR Pro Match Series · Clay |
2-1 | 14-14 | W |
| 27/08 | Aaron Hilsum UTR Pro Match Series · Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 26/08 | Luca Bluett UTR Pro Match Series · Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 15/05 | Arthur Weber M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
Gian Luca Tanner
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/09 | Miguel Semedo M25 Sintra |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 09/09 | Diogo Coelho M25 Sintra |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 16/08 | Dimitris Sakellaridis Challenger Sion · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 26/04 | Jesse Flores M15 Pretoria · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 24/04 | Melih Anavatan M15 Pretoria · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 23/04 | Rocco Piatti M15 Pretoria · ~Hard |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
| 22/04 | Jayden Summers M15 Pretoria · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 15/04 | Melih Anavatan M15 Pretoria · ~Hard |
1-2 | 14-14 | L |
| 14/03 | Tommaso Compagnucci M15 Porec · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 13/03 | Kristijan Juhas M15 Porec · ~Clay |
2-1 | 17-12 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Finn Murgett vs Gian Luca Tanner?
Our model gives 63% to Finn Murgett, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.