Tennis · M25 Sintra · 16/09, 11:00
Prediction: Julien Penzlin vs Joao Domingues
Team pages: Julien Penzlin · Joao Domingues
Prediction summary
Winner
Julien Penzlin
Joao Domingues
Estimated games
22.3
Recent form · 10 last
Julien Penzlin
7-3 (W-L)
Joao Domingues
3-7 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Julien Penzlin 1522 · Joao Domingues 1505
| Julien Penzlin | Joao Domingues | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 52% | 48% |
| Market | 34% | 66% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Julien Penzlin makes many double faults (4.2/match).
Statistics
| Julien Penzlin | Joao Domingues | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | – | 67% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-1.1 | 1.1-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.9-11.2 | 11.1-12 |
| Aces | 5.1 | 1.5 |
| Double faults | 4.2 | 2.4 |
| 1st serve % | 73.9% | 65.9% |
| Break % | 28.1% | 47.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.3
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Julien Penzlin
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/09 | Maxime St-Hilaire M25 Sintra |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 08/09 | Francisco Rocha M25 Sintra |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 03/09 | Pieter De Lange M15 Haren |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 02/09 | Mac Visser M15 Haren |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 08/08 | Vincent Dullinger M15 Frankfurt |
1-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 07/08 | Kirill Kivattsev M15 Frankfurt |
2-1 | 14-11 | W |
| 06/08 | Giovanni Branchetti M15 Frankfurt |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 04/08 | Arthur Bonnaud M15 Frankfurt |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
| 01/07 | Lasse Poertner M25 Marburg · ~Clay |
1-2 | 15-19 | L |
| 30/06 | Giovanni Branchetti M25 Marburg · ~Clay |
2-1 | 11-9 | W |
Joao Domingues
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/07 | Timofey Skatov ATP Estoril · Clay |
1-2 | 15-18 | L |
| 15/07 | Goncalo Marques M15 Castelo Branco |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 01/07 | Fabrizio Andaloro M25 Figueira da Foz · ~Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 25/06 | Tiago Torres M25 Porto |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 24/06 | Maxwell McKennon M25 Porto |
2-1 | 14-16 | W |
| 18/06 | Mario Gonzalez Fernandez M25 Lourinha · ~Hard |
2-1 | 13-11 | W |
| 17/06 | Tiago Cacao M25 Lourinha · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 14/06 | Pablo Martinez Gomez M25 Martos · ~Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 13/06 | Rafael Izquierdo Luque M25 Martos · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 12/06 | Emile Hudd M25 Martos · ~Hard |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Julien Penzlin vs Joao Domingues?
Our model gives 58% to Joao Domingues, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.