Tennis · Challenger Tiburon · 15/09, 19:00
Prediction: Aidan Mayo vs Ryan Seggerman
Team pages: Aidan Mayo · Ryan Seggerman
Prediction summary
Winner
Aidan Mayo
Ryan Seggerman
Estimated games
22.9
Recent form · 10 last
Aidan Mayo
8-2 (W-L)
Ryan Seggerman
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Aidan Mayo 1569 · Ryan Seggerman 1514
| Aidan Mayo | Ryan Seggerman | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 58% | 42% |
| Market | 61% | 39% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Aidan Mayo (rating 1569 vs 1514).
- Note: Aidan Mayo makes many double faults (4.4/match).
- Note: Ryan Seggerman makes many double faults (4.5/match).
Statistics
| Aidan Mayo | Ryan Seggerman | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 70% (10) | 50% (4) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-0.7 | 1.4-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 12-10.3 | 13.5-12.2 |
| Aces | 4.3 | 11.7 |
| Double faults | 4.4 | 4.5 |
| 1st serve % | 73.1% | 80.1% |
| Break % | 43.9% | 37.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.9
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Aidan Mayo
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/08 | Andy Andrade Challenger Kingston · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 29/08 | Luis Guto Miguel Challenger Kingston · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 27/08 | Andres Martin Challenger Kingston · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 26/08 | Benjamin Willwerth Challenger Kingston · Hard |
2-1 | 14-14 | W |
| 25/08 | Matthew Forbes Challenger Kingston · Hard |
2-0 | 14-10 | W |
| 24/08 | Keshav Chopra Challenger Kingston · Hard |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 23/08 | Joao Goncalves Challenger Kingston · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 16/08 | Timo Legout Challenger Kingston · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 12/08 | Stefan Kozlov Challenger Brownsburg · Hard |
1-2 | 12-17 | L |
| 10/08 | Tristan Boyer Challenger Brownsburg · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Ryan Seggerman
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/09 | Alex Rybakov Challenger Tiburon · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 14/09 | Andrew Fenty Challenger Tiburon · Hard |
2-1 | 19-14 | W |
| 22/08 | Abedallah Shelbayh ATP Winston-Salem · Hard |
1-2 | 15-15 | L |
| 17/08 | Gauthier Onclin Challenger Cancun · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 06/07 | Patrick Brady Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 05/07 | Ali Habib Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 17/06 | Laslo Djere Challenger Parma · Clay |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 16/06 | Luca Wiedenmann Challenger Parma · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 15/06 | Miguel Tobon Challenger Parma · Clay |
2-1 | 16-16 | W |
| 14/06 | Marko Topo Challenger Parma · Clay |
2-1 | 19-17 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Aidan Mayo vs Ryan Seggerman?
Our model gives 59% to Aidan Mayo, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.