Tennis · Challenger Tiburon · 15/09, 20:30
Prediction: Braden Shick vs Erik Arutiunian
Team pages: Braden Shick · Erik Arutiunian
Prediction summary
Winner
Braden Shick
Erik Arutiunian
Estimated games
21.6
Recent form · 10 last
Braden Shick
4-6 (W-L)
Erik Arutiunian
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Braden Shick 1532 · Erik Arutiunian 1536
| Braden Shick | Erik Arutiunian | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 49% | 51% |
| Market | 63% | 38% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Erik Arutiunian dominates on serve: 6.1 aces and 62.1% break avg.
Statistics
| Braden Shick | Erik Arutiunian | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 67% (9) | 60% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1.1 | 1.2-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.8-11.8 | 10.2-10.1 |
| Aces | 5.7 | 6.1 |
| Double faults | 3.4 | 2.3 |
| 1st serve % | 67.2% | 71.1% |
| Break % | 34% | 62.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.6
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Braden Shick
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/08 | Shintaro Mochizuki US Open · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 25/08 | Clement Tabur US Open · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 30/07 | Mark Lajal Challenger Vancouver · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 30/07 | Andy Andrade Challenger Vancouver · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 29/07 | August Holmgren Challenger Vancouver · Hard |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
| 28/07 | Benjamin Thomas George Challenger Vancouver · Hard |
2-1 | 19-14 | W |
| 21/07 | Rio Noguchi Challenger Winnipeg · Hard |
1-2 | 12-17 | L |
| 08/07 | Bernard Tomic Challenger Newport · Grass |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 06/07 | Timo Legout Challenger Cary · Hard |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 04/07 | Jay Friend Challenger Cary · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
Erik Arutiunian
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/09 | Spencer Johnson Challenger Tiburon · Hard |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 13/09 | Nicholas Godsick Challenger Tiburon · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 13/08 | Masamichi Imamura Challenger Astana · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 11/08 | Sanhui Shin Challenger Astana · Hard |
2-1 | 14-13 | W |
| 10/08 | Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong Challenger Astana · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 09/08 | Egor Pleshivtsev Challenger Astana · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 02/08 | Kenta Miyoshi Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 31/05 | Quinn Vandecasteele Challenger Tyler · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 26/05 | Justin Boulais Challenger Little Rock · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 25/05 | Bruno Kuzuhara Challenger Little Rock · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Braden Shick vs Erik Arutiunian?
Our model gives 57% to Braden Shick, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.