Tennis · Challenger Tiburon · 16/09, 01:00
Prediction: Michael Zheng vs Evan Zhu
Team pages: Michael Zheng · Evan Zhu
Prediction summary
Winner
Michael Zheng
Evan Zhu
Estimated games
23.2
Recent form · 10 last
Michael Zheng
4-6 (W-L)
Evan Zhu
7-3 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Michael Zheng
1–0
Evan Zhu
(1 last)
- 07 Aug2-0 12-2W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Michael Zheng 1554 · Evan Zhu 1584
| Michael Zheng | Evan Zhu | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 46% | 54% |
| Market | 90% | 10% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Michael Zheng dominates on serve: 6.9 aces and 52.4% break avg.
- Head-to-head: Michael Zheng 1–0 Evan Zhu (1).
- Note: Michael Zheng makes many double faults (4/match).
Statistics
| Michael Zheng | Evan Zhu | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 70% (10) | 75% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.9-1.1 | 1.5-0.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 15.4-13 | 11.8-8.5 |
| Aces | 6.9 | 3.7 |
| Double faults | 4 | 2.8 |
| 1st serve % | 76% | 65.8% |
| Break % | 52.4% | 47% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.2
H2H · Michael Zheng 1 – 0 Evan Zhu (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Michael Zheng 1–0 Evan Zhu
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07/08/24 M25 Southaven | 2-0 | 12-2 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Michael Zheng
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/09 | Arthur Gea US Open · Hard |
2-3 | 23-26 | L |
| 04/09 | Bu Yunchaokete US Open · Hard |
3-1 | 20-14 | W |
| 02/09 | Fabian Marozsan US Open · Hard |
3-0 | 18-10 | W |
| 18/08 | Lorenzo Musetti ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 16/08 | Ugo Humbert ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 14/08 | Fabian Marozsan ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 13/08 | Trevor Svajda ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 12/08 | Moez Echargui ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
| 04/08 | Miomir Kecmanovic ATP Montreal · Hard |
1-2 | 16-17 | L |
| 01/08 | Kei Nishikori ATP Montreal · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Evan Zhu
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/09 | Ozan Baris Challenger Tiburon · Hard |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 13/09 | Fryderyk Lechno-Wasiutynski Challenger Tiburon · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 26/08 | Juan Pablo Ficovich Challenger Kingston · Hard |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 24/08 | Joshua Sheehy Challenger Kingston · Hard |
2-0 | 13-5 | W |
| 23/08 | Arjun Kadhe Challenger Kingston · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 18/08 | Pedro Martinez Challenger Kingston · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 17/08 | Andrew Fenty Challenger Kingston · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 16/08 | Tauheed Browning Challenger Kingston · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 09/08 | Timo Legout M25 Southaven |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 08/08 | Maximus Dussault M25 Southaven |
2-0 | 11-1 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Michael Zheng vs Evan Zhu?
Our model gives 70% to Michael Zheng, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.