Tennis · M15 Belem · 16/09, 15:00

Prediction: Ignacio Antonio Becerra Otarola vs Joao Goncalves

Team pages: Ignacio Antonio Becerra Otarola · Joao Goncalves

Prediction summary
Winner
36% 64%
Ignacio Antonio Becerra Otarola Joao Goncalves
Estimated games
21.7
Recent form · 10 last
Ignacio Antonio Becerra Otarola 5-5 (W-L)
WLWWLWLWLL
Joao Goncalves 3-7 (W-L)
LWLWLLLWLL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Ignacio Antonio Becerra Otarola 1483 · Joao Goncalves 1478
Ignacio Antonio Becerra OtarolaJoao Goncalves
Our model51%49%
Market23%77%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Statistics

Ignacio Antonio Becerra OtarolaJoao Goncalves
Win %40%40%
Win % · Clay 50% (6) 33% (6)
Sets (G-P)1-1.31.1-1.4
Games (G-P)10-11.510.7-11
Aces13
Double faults3.23.3
1st serve %60.6%69.7%
Break %43.8%44.9%
Estimated total games (ours) 21.7

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Ignacio Antonio Becerra Otarola

WLWLL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
08/09 Nicolas Garcia Longo
M15 Leme
0-2 4-12 L
09/03 Cannon Kingsley
Challenger Santiago · Clay
0-2 8-13 L
08/03 Joao Vitor Scramin do Lago
Challenger Santiago · Clay
2-0 13-8 W
22/01 Alan Fernando Rubio Fierros
M25 Santiago
1-2 13-16 L
21/01 Enzo Rimoli
M25 Santiago
2-1 14-12 W
14/01 Mateo Del Pino
M25 Santiago
0-2 4-12 L
27/11 Juan Estevez
ITF M15 Santiago · Clay
1-2 12-18 L
25/11 Alberto Odiseo Alvarado Berrospi
ITF M15 Santiago · Clay
2-0 12-5 W
20/11 Nicolas Villalon
ITF M15 Santiago · Clay
0-2 8-12 L
19/11 Edouard Villoslada
ITF M15 Santiago · Clay
2-0 12-7 W

Joao Goncalves

LLWWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
12/09 Rafael Tosetto
M15 Leme
0-2 10-13 L
11/09 Ryan Dickerson
M15 Leme
2-1 9-8 W
10/09 Joao Cunha Cunha
M15 Leme
2-0 12-6 W
23/08 Aidan Mayo
Challenger Kingston · Hard
0-2 5-12 L
13/05 Adhithya Ganesan
M25 Pensacola · ~Clay
0-2 8-12 L
07/05 Ryan Colby
M15 Vero Beach · ~Clay
1-2 15-16 L
06/05 Youssef Kadiri Hassani
M15 Vero Beach · ~Clay
2-0 12-4 W
30/04 Matthew Segura
M15 Orange Park · ~Clay
1-2 12-15 L
29/04 Christian Langmo
M15 Orange Park · ~Clay
2-1 16-11 W
23/04 Bastian Malla
M15 Orlando · ~Clay
1-2 8-13 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Ignacio Antonio Becerra Otarola vs Joao Goncalves?

Our model gives 64% to Joao Goncalves, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.