Prediction: Nicolas Zanellato vs Joao Goncalves
Team pages: Nicolas Zanellato · Joao Goncalves
Prediction summary
Winner
Nicolas Zanellato
Joao Goncalves
Estimated games
21.2
Recent form · 10 last
Nicolas Zanellato
5-5 (W-L)
Joao Goncalves
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Nicolas Zanellato 1526 · Joao Goncalves 1493
| Nicolas Zanellato | Joao Goncalves | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 55% | 45% |
| Market | 50% | 50% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Nicolas Zanellato | Joao Goncalves | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 50% (4) | 40% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-0.9 | 1.2-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.3-9.8 | 11.1-10.2 |
| Aces | 1.6 | 3.5 |
| Double faults | 1.7 | 3 |
| 1st serve % | 62.7% | 71.4% |
| Break % | 43.2% | 49.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.2
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Nicolas Zanellato
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/09 | Kaue Noatto M15 Belem |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 11/09 | Pedro Sakamoto M15 Leme |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 11/09 | Enzo Lima M15 Leme |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 10/09 | Pietro Gava M15 Leme |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 18/08 | Bastian Malla M15 Asuncion · ~Clay |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 13/08 | Joaquin Aguillar Cardozo M15 Asuncion · ~Clay |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 12/08 | Juan Bautista Otegui M15 Asuncion · ~Clay |
2-1 | 16-17 | W |
| 11/08 | Jackson Pereira Xavier M15 Asuncion · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 05/08 | Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos M25 Londrina |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 04/08 | Luiz Felipe Silva M25 Londrina |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
Joao Goncalves
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/09 | Ignacio Antonio Becerra Otarola M15 Belem |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 12/09 | Rafael Tosetto M15 Leme |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 11/09 | Ryan Dickerson M15 Leme |
2-1 | 9-8 | W |
| 10/09 | Joao Cunha Cunha M15 Leme |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 23/08 | Aidan Mayo Challenger Kingston · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 13/05 | Adhithya Ganesan M25 Pensacola · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 07/05 | Ryan Colby M15 Vero Beach · ~Clay |
1-2 | 15-16 | L |
| 06/05 | Youssef Kadiri Hassani M15 Vero Beach · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 30/04 | Matthew Segura M15 Orange Park · ~Clay |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 29/04 | Christian Langmo M15 Orange Park · ~Clay |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Nicolas Zanellato vs Joao Goncalves?
Our model gives 52% to Nicolas Zanellato, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.