Prediction: Juan Sebastian Osorio vs Valentin Garay
Team pages: Juan Sebastian Osorio · Valentin Garay
Prediction summary
Winner
Juan Sebastian Osorio
Valentin Garay
Estimated games
21.7
Recent form · 10 last
Juan Sebastian Osorio
4-6 (W-L)
Valentin Garay
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Juan Sebastian Osorio 1505 · Valentin Garay 1450
| Juan Sebastian Osorio | Valentin Garay | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 58% | 42% |
| Market | 75% | 25% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Juan Sebastian Osorio (rating 1505 vs 1450).
Statistics
| Juan Sebastian Osorio | Valentin Garay | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 30% |
| Win % · Clay | 33% (3) | 29% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1.3 | 0.9-1.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.4-11.7 | 8.4-10.4 |
| Aces | 3.9 | 2.3 |
| Double faults | 3.2 | 1.8 |
| 1st serve % | 68.5% | 62.7% |
| Break % | 43.8% | 54.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.7
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Juan Sebastian Osorio
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/09 | Rafael Augusto Garcia Finetto M15 Belem |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 06/08 | Maximo Zeitune M25 Londrina |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 05/08 | Juan Estevez M25 Londrina |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 04/08 | Rafael Tosetto M25 Londrina |
2-1 | 17-11 | W |
| 30/07 | Wilson Leite M15 Sao Paulo |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 28/07 | Pedro Henrique Chabalgoity M15 Sao Paulo |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 21/07 | Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos M25 Sao Paulo |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 07/07 | Matias Soto Challenger Bogota · Clay |
1-2 | 10-15 | L |
| 03/07 | Hernan Casanova Challenger Quito · Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 01/07 | Matias Soto Challenger Quito · Clay |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
Valentin Garay
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/09 | Eric Von Marton Martins M15 Belem |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 08/09 | Joao Cunha Cunha M15 Leme |
1-2 | 8-8 | L |
| 31/08 | Thomas Enrique Menzel Piccioli M15 Trelew |
1-2 | 7-10 | L |
| 11/05 | Tomas Farjat Challenger Cordoba · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 06/05 | Juan Bautista Torres M25 Villa Maria · ~Clay |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 05/05 | Mateo Carballo M25 Villa Maria · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 29/04 | Dante Pagani M25 Lujan · ~Clay |
1-2 | 10-15 | L |
| 18/04 | Ezequiel Simonit UTR Pro Cordoba · Clay |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 18/04 | Leonel Cesar Castro UTR Pro Cordoba · Clay |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 17/04 | Alejo Lorenzo Lingua Lavallen UTR Pro Cordoba · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Juan Sebastian Osorio vs Valentin Garay?
Our model gives 67% to Juan Sebastian Osorio, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.