Tennis · Challenger Szczecin · 16/09, 10:30
Prediction: Tom Gentzsch vs Martin Krumich
Team pages: Tom Gentzsch · Martin Krumich
Prediction summary
Winner
Tom Gentzsch
Martin Krumich
Estimated games
23.7
Recent form · 10 last
Tom Gentzsch
7-3 (W-L)
Martin Krumich
4-6 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Tom Gentzsch
3–1
Martin Krumich
(4 last)
- 12 Apr2-1 17-15W
- 05 Feb2-0 12-7W
- 07 Jan2-1 17-15W
- 14 Jul0-2 6-12L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Tom Gentzsch 1598 · Martin Krumich 1476
| Tom Gentzsch | Martin Krumich | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 67% | 33% |
| Market | 58% | 42% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Tom Gentzsch (rating 1598 vs 1476).
- Tom Gentzsch dominates on serve: 7.1 aces and 44.4% break avg.
- Head-to-head: Tom Gentzsch 3–1 Martin Krumich (4).
Statistics
| Tom Gentzsch | Martin Krumich | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 75% (8) | 50% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-0.9 | 1.1-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.6-11.1 | 10.5-10 |
| Aces | 7.1 | 3.2 |
| Double faults | 3.4 | 2.7 |
| 1st serve % | 74.1% | 72.2% |
| Break % | 44.4% | 34.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.7
H2H · Tom Gentzsch 3 – 1 Martin Krumich (4)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Tom Gentzsch 3–1 Martin Krumich
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12/04/26 Challenger Oeiras | 2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 05/02/26 Challenger Koblenz | 2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 07/01/26 Challenger Nottingham | 2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 14/07/25 Challenger Bunschoten | 0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Tom Gentzsch
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/09 | Alan Wazny Challenger Szczecin · Clay |
2-1 | 19-12 | W |
| 08/09 | Massimo Giunta Challenger Genoa · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 26/08 | Francesco Passaro US Open · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 24/08 | Pol Martin Tiffon US Open · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 09/08 | Jerome Kym Challenger Hagen · Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 08/08 | Zsombor Piros Challenger Hagen · Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 07/08 | Henri Squire Challenger Hagen · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 05/08 | Chun Hsin Tseng Challenger Hagen · Clay |
2-1 | 13-8 | W |
| 04/08 | Thiago Monteiro Challenger Hagen · Clay |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
| 30/07 | Max Dahlin Challenger Bonn · Clay |
1-2 | 16-16 | L |
Martin Krumich
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/09 | Kacper Knitter Challenger Szczecin · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 09/09 | Zdenek Kolar Challenger Tulln · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 07/09 | Sebastian Sorger Challenger Tulln · Clay |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 01/09 | Thiago Seyboth Wild Challenger Como · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 27/08 | Sandro Kopp Challenger Augsburg · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 26/08 | Svyatoslav Gulin Challenger Augsburg · Clay |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 25/08 | Dominic Stephan Stricker Challenger Augsburg · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 18/08 | Javier Barranco Cosano Challenger Prague · Clay |
1-2 | 14-14 | L |
| 31/07 | Sumit Nagal Challenger Liberec · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 29/07 | Joel Schwaerzler Challenger Liberec · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Tom Gentzsch vs Martin Krumich?
Our model gives 62% to Tom Gentzsch, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.