Tennis · Challenger Biella · 16/09, 10:00
Prediction: Jay Clarke vs Petr Brunclik
Team pages: Jay Clarke · Petr Brunclik
Prediction summary
Winner
Jay Clarke
Petr Brunclik
Estimated games
23.7
Recent form · 10 last
Jay Clarke
6-4 (W-L)
Petr Brunclik
5-5 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Jay Clarke
1–0
Petr Brunclik
(1 last)
- 07 Mar2-0 12-4W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Jay Clarke 1523 · Petr Brunclik 1451
| Jay Clarke | Petr Brunclik | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 60% | 40% |
| Market | 50% | 50% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Jay Clarke (rating 1523 vs 1451).
- Head-to-head: Jay Clarke 1–0 Petr Brunclik (1).
- Note: Petr Brunclik makes many double faults (4.4/match).
Statistics
| Jay Clarke | Petr Brunclik | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 30% |
| Win % · Clay | 67% (6) | 30% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-1.3 | 0.8-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.7-13.3 | 9.8-12 |
| Aces | 2.1 | 4.7 |
| Double faults | 2.8 | 4.4 |
| 1st serve % | 66.2% | 69.4% |
| Break % | 50.7% | 41.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.7
H2H · Jay Clarke 1 – 0 Petr Brunclik (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Jay Clarke 1–0 Petr Brunclik
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07/03/24 M15 Porec | 2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Jay Clarke
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/09 | Jonas Forejtek Challenger Biella · Clay |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 05/09 | Juan Pablo Varillas Challenger Como · Clay |
1-2 | 13-19 | L |
| 04/09 | Duje Ajdukovic Challenger Como · Clay |
2-1 | 14-11 | W |
| 03/09 | Pedro Martinez Challenger Como · Clay |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
| 01/09 | Francesco Forti Challenger Como · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 25/08 | Rei Sakamoto US Open · Hard |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 18/08 | Clement Chidekh Challenger Kingston · Hard |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 20/07 | Jerome Kym Challenger Zug · Clay |
1-2 | 14-13 | L |
| 09/07 | Stijn Paardekooper M25 The Hague |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 08/07 | Mac Visser M25 The Hague |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
Petr Brunclik
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/09 | Filippo Romano Challenger Biella · Clay |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 07/09 | Alejandro Moro Canas Challenger Seville · Clay |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 01/09 | Sebastian Sorger Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 25/08 | Daniel Masur Challenger Augsburg · Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 18/08 | Jan Kumstat Challenger Prague · Clay |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 06/08 | Yannick Theodor Alexandrescou Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 04/08 | Lorenzo Carboni Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 29/07 | Sumit Nagal Challenger Liberec · Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 28/07 | William Rejchtman Vinciguerra Challenger Liberec · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 12/06 | Vitaliy Sachko Challenger Bratislava · Clay |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Jay Clarke vs Petr Brunclik?
Our model gives 55% to Jay Clarke, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.