Tennis · WTA Ljubljana · 15/09, 11:30
Prediction: Lucija Ciric Bagaric vs Laura Samsonova
Team pages: Lucija Ciric Bagaric · Laura Samsonova
Prediction summary
Winner
Lucija Ciric Bagaric
Laura Samsonova
Estimated games
23.7
Recent form · 10 last
Lucija Ciric Bagaric
8-2 (W-L)
Laura Samsonova
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Lucija Ciric Bagaric 1561 · Laura Samsonova 1537
| Lucija Ciric Bagaric | Laura Samsonova | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 53% | 47% |
| Market | 35% | 65% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Lucija Ciric Bagaric makes many double faults (5.1/match).
- Note: Laura Samsonova makes many double faults (8.3/match).
Statistics
| Lucija Ciric Bagaric | Laura Samsonova | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 70% (10) | 83% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.7-0.8 | 1.2-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.1-11.1 | 12.1-12.9 |
| Aces | 2.9 | 3.7 |
| Double faults | 5.1 | 8.3 |
| 1st serve % | 60.7% | 62.9% |
| Break % | 58.7% | 46% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.7
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Lucija Ciric Bagaric
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/09 | Deborah Chiesa WTA Ljubljana · Clay |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 08/09 | Gabriella Price WTA Montreux · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 07/09 | Deborah Chiesa WTA Montreux · Clay |
2-1 | 15-10 | W |
| 06/09 | Jule Niemeier WTA Montreux · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 25/08 | Elena Milovanovic W50 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 20/08 | Darya Astakhova W75 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
1-2 | 14-18 | L |
| 19/08 | Lea Boskovic W75 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 17/08 | Antonia Stoyanov W75 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 16/08 | Lana Virc W75 Kursumlijska Banja Qual · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 10/08 | Ksenia Zaytseva W75 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
1-2 | 9-15 | L |
Laura Samsonova
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/08 | Tamara Zidansek US Open Women · Hard |
1-2 | 16-19 | L |
| 04/08 | Mona Barthel WTA Warsaw · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 02/08 | Kaitlin Quevedo WTA Targu Mures · Clay |
2-1 | 14-10 | W |
| 01/08 | Lucia Bronzetti WTA Targu Mures · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 31/07 | Mia Ristic WTA Targu Mures · Clay |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 28/07 | Alesia Breaz WTA Targu Mures · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 21/07 | Maya Joint WTA Prague · Hard |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 16/07 | Gina Feistel WTA Kitzbuhel · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 14/07 | Laura Pigossi WTA Kitzbuhel · Clay |
2-1 | 18-17 | W |
| 23/06 | Katie Volynets Wimbledon Women · Grass |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Lucija Ciric Bagaric vs Laura Samsonova?
Our model gives 56% to Laura Samsonova, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.