Tennis · UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · 15/09, 20:00
Prediction: Tricia Mar vs Matilde Magrini
Team pages: Tricia Mar · Matilde Magrini
Prediction summary
Winner
Tricia Mar
Matilde Magrini
Estimated games
20
Recent form · 10 last
Tricia Mar
2-8 (W-L)
Matilde Magrini
2-8 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Tricia Mar 1411 · Matilde Magrini 1462
| Tricia Mar | Matilde Magrini | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 43% | 57% |
| Market | 21% | 79% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Matilde Magrini (rating 1411 vs 1462).
- Note: Matilde Magrini makes many double faults (4.9/match).
Statistics
| Tricia Mar | Matilde Magrini | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 20% | 30% |
| Win % · Hard | 20% (10) | 38% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.4-1.8 | 0.8-1.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 7.6-12 | 8.3-11.2 |
| Aces | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Double faults | 2.8 | 4.9 |
| 1st serve % | 51.7% | 57.4% |
| Break % | 40.8% | 49.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Tricia Mar
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/09 | Tia Messerli UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 13/09 | Bentley Sparks UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 10/09 | Lily Fairclough UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 10/09 | Kate Fakih UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 09/09 | My-Anh Holmes UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
0-2 | 10-14 | L |
| 29/08 | Juny Huh UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 28/08 | Sue Yan Tan UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 28/08 | Kelsey Phillips UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
2-1 | 13-9 | W |
| 26/08 | Veronika Miroshnichenko UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 04/07 | Tallia Harper UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
Matilde Magrini
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/09 | Lily Fairclough UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 19/07 | Ella Haavisto W35 Gentofte |
1-1 | 7-10 | L |
| 16/06 | Isabelle Cherny W35 San Gregorio · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 03/04 | Megan Heuser UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
2-1 | 17-11 | W |
| 02/04 | Eduarda Piai UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
2-1 | 14-9 | W |
| 01/04 | Amy Duong UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 31/03 | Veronika Miroshnichenko UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 30/03 | Darja Suvirdjonkova UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 14/02 | Kelly Keller UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 13/02 | Abigail Haile UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Tricia Mar vs Matilde Magrini?
Our model gives 69% to Matilde Magrini, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.